RTS Oil Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average

RTSO Stock  USD 0.0002  0.00  0.00%   
RTS Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of RTS Oil's share price is below 20 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of RTS Oil's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with RTS Oil Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using RTS Oil hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RTS Oil Holdings from the perspective of RTS Oil response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of RTS Oil Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

RTS Oil after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RTS Oil to cross-verify your projections.

RTS Oil Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine RTS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RTS using various technical indicators. When you analyze RTS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for RTS Oil is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

RTS Oil Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of RTS Oil Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RTS Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RTS Oil's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

RTS Oil Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest RTS Oil  RTS Oil Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

RTS Oil Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting RTS Oil's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RTS Oil's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 0.0002, respectively. We have considered RTS Oil's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0002
0.0002
Downside
0.0002
Expected Value
0.0002
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RTS Oil pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RTS Oil pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of RTS Oil Holdings price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of RTS Oil. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for RTS Oil

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RTS Oil Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of RTS Oil's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00020.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00020.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00020.00020.0002
Details

RTS Oil After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of RTS Oil at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RTS Oil or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of RTS Oil, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

RTS Oil Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting RTS Oil's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RTS Oil's historical news coverage. RTS Oil's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered RTS Oil's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0002
0.0002
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
RTS Oil is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RTS Oil Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

RTS Oil Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RTS Oil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RTS Oil backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RTS Oil, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0002
0.0002
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

RTS Oil Hype Timeline

RTS Oil Holdings is at this time traded for 0.0002. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. RTS is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on RTS Oil is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.4. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. RTS Oil Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:3 split on the 24th of May 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RTS Oil to cross-verify your projections.

RTS Oil Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to RTS Oil's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RTS Oil's future price movements. Getting to know how RTS Oil's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RTS Oil may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
IFNYInfinity Energy Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ONVRFOronova Energy 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SFPISanta Fe Petroleum 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
URXZFTenth Avenue Petroleum 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ADRLFAdavale Resources Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
WRRNFWestcore Energy 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PMEHFPrimeline Energy Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NWPIFClearStream Energy Services 0.00 0 per month 2.18 (0.01) 0.00 (3.19) 37.56 
GLFHGalenfeha 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  25.00 (28.57) 23,537 
RCTRFTrans Canada Gold 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for RTS Oil

For every potential investor in RTS, whether a beginner or expert, RTS Oil's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RTS Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RTS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RTS Oil's price trends.

RTS Oil Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RTS Oil pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RTS Oil could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RTS Oil by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

RTS Oil Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RTS Oil pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RTS Oil shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RTS Oil pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify RTS Oil Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for RTS Oil

The number of cover stories for RTS Oil depends on current market conditions and RTS Oil's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RTS Oil is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RTS Oil's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in RTS Pink Sheet

RTS Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether RTS Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RTS with respect to the benefits of owning RTS Oil security.