Rush Enterprises Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| RUSHB Stock | USD 59.87 1.54 2.51% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rush Enterprises B on the next trading day is expected to be 59.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.21. Rush Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Rush Enterprises stock prices and determine the direction of Rush Enterprises B's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rush Enterprises' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Rush Enterprises' share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.14) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using Rush Enterprises hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rush Enterprises B from the perspective of Rush Enterprises response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Rush Enterprises B Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Rush Enterprises' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Rush. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Rush can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Rush Enterprises B. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rush Enterprises B on the next trading day is expected to be 59.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.21.
Rush Enterprises after-hype prediction price | USD 59.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rush Enterprises to cross-verify your projections. Rush Enterprises Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rush price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rush using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rush charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Rush Enterprises Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rush Enterprises B on the next trading day is expected to be 59.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86, mean absolute percentage error of 1.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.21.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rush Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rush Enterprises' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Rush Enterprises Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Rush Enterprises | Rush Enterprises Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Rush Enterprises Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Rush Enterprises' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rush Enterprises' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 57.74 and 62.00, respectively. We have considered Rush Enterprises' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rush Enterprises stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rush Enterprises stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.392 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.091 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8559 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0155 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 52.21 |
Predictive Modules for Rush Enterprises
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rush Enterprises B. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rush Enterprises After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Rush Enterprises at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rush Enterprises or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rush Enterprises, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Rush Enterprises Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Rush Enterprises' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rush Enterprises' historical news coverage. Rush Enterprises' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 57.74 and 62.00, respectively. We have considered Rush Enterprises' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Rush Enterprises is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rush Enterprises B is based on 3 months time horizon.
Rush Enterprises Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rush Enterprises is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rush Enterprises backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rush Enterprises, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.13 | 0.18 | 0.05 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
59.87 | 59.87 | 0.00 |
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Rush Enterprises Hype Timeline
Rush Enterprises B is at this time traded for 59.87. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Rush is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Rush Enterprises is about 838.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 59.82. About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Rush Enterprises was at this time reported as 28.45. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.74. Rush Enterprises B last dividend was issued on the 12th of November 2025. The entity had 3:2 split on the 29th of August 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rush Enterprises to cross-verify your projections.Rush Enterprises Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Rush Enterprises' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rush Enterprises' future price movements. Getting to know how Rush Enterprises' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rush Enterprises may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ABG | Asbury Automotive Group | (0.99) | 10 per month | 1.58 | (0.01) | 3.65 | (2.56) | 8.25 | |
| DORM | Dorman Products | (0.72) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.69 | (2.64) | 13.70 | |
| CARG | CarGurus | (0.55) | 31 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.84 | (3.16) | 12.39 | |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive | 0.12 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.58 | (2.66) | 7.43 | |
| GTX | Garrett Motion | 0.45 | 13 per month | 1.14 | 0.16 | 3.18 | (2.27) | 23.25 | |
| SKY | Skyline | 1.38 | 35 per month | 2.08 | 0.09 | 4.86 | (3.89) | 14.49 | |
| KTB | Kontoor Brands | (1.01) | 29 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.87 | (4.81) | 13.84 | |
| SON | Sonoco Products | (0.66) | 10 per month | 0.98 | 0.17 | 3.18 | (2.07) | 6.16 | |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings | 0.46 | 11 per month | 3.04 | (0.02) | 2.44 | (2.84) | 15.21 | |
| TNL | Travel Leisure Co | (1.02) | 11 per month | 1.60 | 0.09 | 3.13 | (2.43) | 22.04 |
Other Forecasting Options for Rush Enterprises
For every potential investor in Rush, whether a beginner or expert, Rush Enterprises' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rush Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rush. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rush Enterprises' price trends.Rush Enterprises Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rush Enterprises stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rush Enterprises could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rush Enterprises by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Rush Enterprises Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rush Enterprises stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rush Enterprises shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rush Enterprises stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rush Enterprises B entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 412.92 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.40) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 60.22 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 60.1 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.12) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.54) |
Rush Enterprises Risk Indicators
The analysis of Rush Enterprises' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rush Enterprises' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rush stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.08 | |||
| Variance | 4.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.81 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.70) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Rush Enterprises
The number of cover stories for Rush Enterprises depends on current market conditions and Rush Enterprises' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rush Enterprises is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rush Enterprises' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Rush Enterprises Short Properties
Rush Enterprises' future price predictability will typically decrease when Rush Enterprises' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rush Enterprises B often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rush Enterprises' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rush Enterprises' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 228.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rush Enterprises to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rush Enterprises. If investors know Rush will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rush Enterprises listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.14) | Dividend Share 0.73 | Earnings Share 3.37 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Rush Enterprises B is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rush that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rush Enterprises' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rush Enterprises' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rush Enterprises' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rush Enterprises' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rush Enterprises' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rush Enterprises is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rush Enterprises' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.