Mid-cap 15x Mutual Fund Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

RYDCX Fund  USD 118.04  2.87  2.49%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Mid Cap 15x Strategy on the next trading day is expected to be 115.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.98 and the sum of the absolute errors of 112.65. Mid-cap Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Mid Cap 15x Strategy is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Mid-cap 15x 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Mid Cap 15x Strategy on the next trading day is expected to be 115.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.98, mean absolute percentage error of 6.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 112.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mid-cap Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mid-cap 15x's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mid-cap 15x Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Mid-cap 15xMid-cap 15x Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Mid-cap 15x Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mid-cap 15x's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mid-cap 15x's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 114.44 and 117.39, respectively. We have considered Mid-cap 15x's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
118.04
114.44
Downside
115.91
Expected Value
117.39
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mid-cap 15x mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mid-cap 15x mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.6544
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.6759
MADMean absolute deviation1.9762
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.018
SAESum of the absolute errors112.645
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Mid-cap 15x. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Mid Cap 15x Strategy and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Mid-cap 15x

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mid Cap 15x. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mid-cap 15x's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
116.57118.04119.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
100.04101.51129.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
109.56114.49119.42
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Mid-cap 15x

For every potential investor in Mid-cap, whether a beginner or expert, Mid-cap 15x's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mid-cap Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mid-cap. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mid-cap 15x's price trends.

Mid-cap 15x Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mid-cap 15x mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mid-cap 15x could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mid-cap 15x by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mid Cap 15x Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mid-cap 15x's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mid-cap 15x's current price.

Mid-cap 15x Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mid-cap 15x mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mid-cap 15x shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mid-cap 15x mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Mid Cap 15x Strategy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mid-cap 15x Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mid-cap 15x's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mid-cap 15x's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mid-cap mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Mid-cap Mutual Fund

Mid-cap 15x financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mid-cap Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mid-cap with respect to the benefits of owning Mid-cap 15x security.
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