SentinelOne Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

S Stock  USD 15.11  0.55  3.78%   
SentinelOne Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength indicator of SentinelOne's share price is approaching 49. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SentinelOne, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SentinelOne's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SentinelOne and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SentinelOne's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SentinelOne, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting SentinelOne's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.20)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.70)
Wall Street Target Price
21.0909
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.17)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.229
Using SentinelOne hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SentinelOne from the perspective of SentinelOne response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SentinelOne using SentinelOne's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SentinelOne using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SentinelOne's stock price.

SentinelOne Short Interest

An investor who is long SentinelOne may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about SentinelOne and may potentially protect profits, hedge SentinelOne with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
17.2971
Short Percent
0.0628
Short Ratio
1.78
Shares Short Prior Month
18 M
50 Day MA
15.2854

SentinelOne Relative Strength Index

The Simple Regression forecasted value of SentinelOne on the next trading day is expected to be 13.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.59.

SentinelOne Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to SentinelOne's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SentinelOne. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SentinelOne can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SentinelOne. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SentinelOne's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SentinelOne.

SentinelOne Implied Volatility

    
  0.7  
SentinelOne's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SentinelOne stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SentinelOne's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SentinelOne stock will not fluctuate a lot when SentinelOne's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of SentinelOne on the next trading day is expected to be 13.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.59.

SentinelOne after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.49  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SentinelOne to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy SentinelOne Stock please use our How to Invest in SentinelOne guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current SentinelOne contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that SentinelOne will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0438% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With SentinelOne trading at USD 15.11, that is roughly USD 0.006611 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating SentinelOne's daily price movement you should consider acquiring SentinelOne options at the current volatility level of 0.7%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 SentinelOne Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast SentinelOne's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in SentinelOne's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for SentinelOne stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current SentinelOne's open interest, investors have to compare it to SentinelOne's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of SentinelOne is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in SentinelOne. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

SentinelOne Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SentinelOne price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SentinelOne using various technical indicators. When you analyze SentinelOne charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through SentinelOne price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

SentinelOne Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of SentinelOne on the next trading day is expected to be 13.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.59.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SentinelOne Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SentinelOne's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SentinelOne Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest SentinelOne  SentinelOne Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

SentinelOne Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SentinelOne's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SentinelOne's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.15 and 16.72, respectively. We have considered SentinelOne's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.11
13.94
Expected Value
16.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SentinelOne stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SentinelOne stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.8656
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4358
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0281
SAESum of the absolute errors26.585
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as SentinelOne historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for SentinelOne

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SentinelOne. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SentinelOne's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.7514.4917.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.1018.1020.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.6714.6815.69
Details
36 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.1921.0923.41
Details

SentinelOne After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SentinelOne at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SentinelOne or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SentinelOne, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SentinelOne Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SentinelOne's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SentinelOne's historical news coverage. SentinelOne's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.75 and 17.23, respectively. We have considered SentinelOne's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
15.11
14.49
After-hype Price
17.23
Upside
SentinelOne is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SentinelOne is based on 3 months time horizon.

SentinelOne Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SentinelOne is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SentinelOne backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SentinelOne, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
2.79
  0.01 
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.11
14.49
0.48 
3,100  
Notes

SentinelOne Hype Timeline

As of January 27, 2026 SentinelOne is listed for 15.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. SentinelOne is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.49. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.48%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on SentinelOne is about 5166.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.12. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of SentinelOne was at this time reported as 4.56. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.26. SentinelOne had 2:1 split on the 7th of June 1999. Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SentinelOne to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy SentinelOne Stock please use our How to Invest in SentinelOne guide.

SentinelOne Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SentinelOne's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SentinelOne's future price movements. Getting to know how SentinelOne's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SentinelOne may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CCCSCCCS Old(1.90)2 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.44 (3.05) 9.13 
WEXWex Inc 4.35 10 per month 1.66 (0.01) 3.31 (2.82) 8.14 
FOURShift4 Payments(0.48)9 per month 0.00 (0.13) 4.21 (3.68) 11.05 
STNEStoneCo(0.16)10 per month 0.00 (0.08) 4.06 (6.88) 15.52 
CORZCore Scientific Common(0.21)10 per month 4.13 (0) 7.09 (7.56) 17.30 
ACIWACI Worldwide(0.25)8 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.08 (3.30) 9.43 
FROGJfrog 0.48 8 per month 2.41  0.07  6.25 (4.10) 31.58 
QLYSQualys Inc(1.22)16 per month 1.89 (0.01) 2.52 (3.12) 25.56 
BOXBox Inc(0.04)11 per month 0.00 (0.21) 2.76 (3.61) 11.36 
OSOneStream Class A(0.03)13 per month 2.55  0.09  6.39 (4.81) 29.57 

Other Forecasting Options for SentinelOne

For every potential investor in SentinelOne, whether a beginner or expert, SentinelOne's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SentinelOne Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SentinelOne. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SentinelOne's price trends.

SentinelOne Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SentinelOne stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SentinelOne could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SentinelOne by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SentinelOne Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SentinelOne stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SentinelOne shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SentinelOne stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SentinelOne entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SentinelOne Risk Indicators

The analysis of SentinelOne's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SentinelOne's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sentinelone stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for SentinelOne

The number of cover stories for SentinelOne depends on current market conditions and SentinelOne's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SentinelOne is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SentinelOne's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

SentinelOne Short Properties

SentinelOne's future price predictability will typically decrease when SentinelOne's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SentinelOne often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SentinelOne's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SentinelOne's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding314.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments721.9 M

Additional Tools for SentinelOne Stock Analysis

When running SentinelOne's price analysis, check to measure SentinelOne's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SentinelOne is operating at the current time. Most of SentinelOne's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SentinelOne's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SentinelOne's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SentinelOne to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.