Spotify Technology Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| S1PO34 Stock | BRL 689.51 4.58 0.67% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Spotify Technology SA on the next trading day is expected to be 689.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 648.38. Spotify Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Spotify Technology stock prices and determine the direction of Spotify Technology SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Spotify Technology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Spotify |
Spotify Technology Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Spotify Technology SA on the next trading day is expected to be 689.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.81, mean absolute percentage error of 241.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 648.38.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Spotify Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Spotify Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Spotify Technology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Spotify Technology | Spotify Technology Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Spotify Technology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Spotify Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Spotify Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 686.83 and 692.19, respectively. We have considered Spotify Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Spotify Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Spotify Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.7594 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -3.4707 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 10.8063 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0198 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 648.38 |
Predictive Modules for Spotify Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Spotify Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Spotify Technology
For every potential investor in Spotify, whether a beginner or expert, Spotify Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Spotify Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Spotify. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Spotify Technology's price trends.Spotify Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Spotify Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Spotify Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Spotify Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Spotify Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Spotify Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Spotify Technology's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Spotify Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Spotify Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Spotify Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Spotify Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Spotify Technology SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Spotify Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Spotify Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Spotify Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting spotify stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.66 | |||
| Variance | 7.07 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.4 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.84 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.09) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Spotify Stock
When determining whether Spotify Technology is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Spotify Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Spotify Technology Sa Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Spotify Technology Sa Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Spotify Technology to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.