Sabuy Technology Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

SABUY Stock  THB 0.44  0.01  2.22%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Sabuy Technology Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.13. Sabuy Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sabuy Technology stock prices and determine the direction of Sabuy Technology Public's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sabuy Technology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Sabuy Technology Public is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Sabuy Technology 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Sabuy Technology Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.13.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sabuy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sabuy Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sabuy Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

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Sabuy Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sabuy Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sabuy Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 126.46, respectively. We have considered Sabuy Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.44
0.45
Expected Value
126.46
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sabuy Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sabuy Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.7118
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0019
MADMean absolute deviation0.055
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0767
SAESum of the absolute errors3.1325
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Sabuy Technology. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Sabuy Technology Public and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Sabuy Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sabuy Technology Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sabuy Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.4472.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.4072.40
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sabuy Technology

For every potential investor in Sabuy, whether a beginner or expert, Sabuy Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sabuy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sabuy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sabuy Technology's price trends.

Sabuy Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sabuy Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sabuy Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sabuy Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sabuy Technology Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sabuy Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sabuy Technology's current price.

Sabuy Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sabuy Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sabuy Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sabuy Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sabuy Technology Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sabuy Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sabuy Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sabuy Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sabuy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Sabuy Stock

Sabuy Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sabuy Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sabuy with respect to the benefits of owning Sabuy Technology security.