Salem Media OTC Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SALM Stock | USD 0.40 0.01 2.44% |
Salem OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the value of RSI of Salem Media's share price is approaching 35. This usually implies that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Salem Media, making its price go up or down. Momentum 35
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Salem Media based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Salem Media hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Salem Media Group from the perspective of Salem Media response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Salem Media Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.97. Salem Media after-hype prediction price | USD 0.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Salem |
Salem Media Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Salem price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Salem using various technical indicators. When you analyze Salem charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Salem Media Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Salem Media Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.97.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Salem OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Salem Media's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Salem Media OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Salem Media | Salem Media Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Salem Media Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Salem Media's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Salem Media's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 4.94, respectively. We have considered Salem Media's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Salem Media otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Salem Media otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.0785 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0089 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0165 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0325 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.975 |
Predictive Modules for Salem Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Salem Media Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Salem Media After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Salem Media at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Salem Media or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Salem Media, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Salem Media Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Salem Media's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Salem Media's historical news coverage. Salem Media's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 4.94, respectively. We have considered Salem Media's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Salem Media is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Salem Media Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Salem Media OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Salem Media is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Salem Media backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Salem Media, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.97 | 4.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.40 | 0.40 | 0.00 |
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Salem Media Hype Timeline
Salem Media Group is at this time traded for 0.40. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Salem is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.97%. %. The volatility of related hype on Salem Media is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.40. About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.07. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Salem Media Group recorded a loss per share of 1.68. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of March 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Salem Media to cross-verify your projections.Salem Media Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Salem Media's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Salem Media's future price movements. Getting to know how Salem Media's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Salem Media may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EMMS | Emmis Communications Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.09 | 0.02 | 5.41 | (0.51) | 76.50 | |
| BBUZ | Bebuzee | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.55 | 0.04 | 12.50 | (10.00) | 76.67 | |
| QYOUF | QYOU Media | 0.00 | 0 per month | 16.36 | 0.20 | 64.29 | (16.67) | 1,206 | |
| APHP | American Picture House | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 13.33 | (19.00) | 48.08 | |
| TVTV | WhereverTV Broadcasting | 0.00 | 0 per month | 20.71 | 0.25 | 110.79 | (48.97) | 309.48 | |
| CNFN | Cfn Enterprises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 15.00 | (23.19) | 99.56 | |
| AITVF | Asian Television Network | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LUDG | Ludwig Enterprises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.03 | 0.04 | 35.29 | (26.09) | 80.94 | |
| TAPP | Tap Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.38 | |
| GLMFF | Glacier Media | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 4.35 | 0.00 | 64.29 |
Other Forecasting Options for Salem Media
For every potential investor in Salem, whether a beginner or expert, Salem Media's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Salem OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Salem. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Salem Media's price trends.Salem Media Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Salem Media otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Salem Media could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Salem Media by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Salem Media Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Salem Media otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Salem Media shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Salem Media otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Salem Media Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Salem Media Risk Indicators
The analysis of Salem Media's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Salem Media's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting salem otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.47 | |||
| Variance | 20.0 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Salem Media
The number of cover stories for Salem Media depends on current market conditions and Salem Media's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Salem Media is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Salem Media's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Salem Media Short Properties
Salem Media's future price predictability will typically decrease when Salem Media's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Salem Media Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Salem Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Salem Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -42.4 M |
Other Information on Investing in Salem OTC Stock
Salem Media financial ratios help investors to determine whether Salem OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Salem with respect to the benefits of owning Salem Media security.