SAMIR Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SAMIR Stock | 127.80 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SAMIR hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SAMIR from the perspective of SAMIR response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SAMIR on the next trading day is expected to be 127.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. SAMIR after-hype prediction price | MAD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SAMIR |
SAMIR Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SAMIR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SAMIR using various technical indicators. When you analyze SAMIR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SAMIR Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SAMIR on the next trading day is expected to be 127.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SAMIR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SAMIR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SAMIR Stock Forecast Pattern
SAMIR Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SAMIR's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SAMIR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 127.80 and 127.80, respectively. We have considered SAMIR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SAMIR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SAMIR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for SAMIR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SAMIR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SAMIR Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SAMIR is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SAMIR backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SAMIR, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
127.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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SAMIR Hype Timeline
SAMIR is at this time traded for 127.80on Casablanca Stock Exchange of Morocco. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SAMIR is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on SAMIR is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 127.80. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.SAMIR Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SAMIR's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SAMIR's future price movements. Getting to know how SAMIR's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SAMIR may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MAROC-LEASING | MAROC LEASING | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.22 | 0.01 | 5.81 | (5.28) | 11.98 | |
| ATTIJARIWAFA-BANK | ATTIJARIWAFA BANK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.53 | (1.87) | 5.33 | |
| HPS | HIGHTECH PAYMENT SYSTEMS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.57 | (0.04) | 2.64 | (2.33) | 10.03 | |
| BANK-OF-AFRICA | BANK OF AFRICA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.83 | (4.72) | 8.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for SAMIR
For every potential investor in SAMIR, whether a beginner or expert, SAMIR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SAMIR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SAMIR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SAMIR's price trends.SAMIR Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SAMIR stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SAMIR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SAMIR by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SAMIR Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SAMIR stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SAMIR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SAMIR stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SAMIR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for SAMIR
The number of cover stories for SAMIR depends on current market conditions and SAMIR's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SAMIR is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SAMIR's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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