Sana Biotechnology Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SANA Stock | USD 4.59 0.16 3.61% |
Sana Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sana Biotechnology stock prices and determine the direction of Sana Biotechnology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Sana Biotechnology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The RSI of Sana Biotechnology's share price is at 51. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sana Biotechnology, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.19) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.73) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.57) | Wall Street Target Price 8.7143 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.19) |
Using Sana Biotechnology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sana Biotechnology from the perspective of Sana Biotechnology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sana Biotechnology using Sana Biotechnology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sana using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sana Biotechnology's stock price.
Sana Biotechnology Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Sana Biotechnology's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Sana. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Sana Biotechnology stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 3.6138 | Short Percent 0.3799 | Short Ratio 10.92 | Shares Short Prior Month 36.6 M | 50 Day MA 4.4408 |
Sana Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sana Biotechnology on the next trading day is expected to be 4.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.73.Sana Biotechnology Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sana Biotechnology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sana. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sana can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sana Biotechnology. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sana Biotechnology's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sana Biotechnology.
Sana Biotechnology Implied Volatility | 0.98 |
Sana Biotechnology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sana Biotechnology stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sana Biotechnology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sana Biotechnology stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sana Biotechnology's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sana Biotechnology on the next trading day is expected to be 4.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.73. Sana Biotechnology after-hype prediction price | USD 4.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sana Biotechnology to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Sana Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sana Biotechnology's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sana Biotechnology's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sana Biotechnology stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sana Biotechnology's open interest, investors have to compare it to Sana Biotechnology's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sana Biotechnology is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sana. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Sana Biotechnology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sana price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sana using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sana charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sana Biotechnology Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sana Biotechnology on the next trading day is expected to be 4.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sana Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sana Biotechnology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sana Biotechnology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sana Biotechnology | Sana Biotechnology Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Sana Biotechnology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sana Biotechnology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sana Biotechnology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 10.23, respectively. We have considered Sana Biotechnology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sana Biotechnology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sana Biotechnology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3949 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0085 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1788 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0411 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.73 |
Predictive Modules for Sana Biotechnology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sana Biotechnology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sana Biotechnology After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sana Biotechnology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sana Biotechnology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sana Biotechnology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sana Biotechnology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sana Biotechnology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sana Biotechnology's historical news coverage. Sana Biotechnology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.23 and 10.19, respectively. We have considered Sana Biotechnology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sana Biotechnology is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sana Biotechnology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sana Biotechnology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sana Biotechnology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sana Biotechnology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sana Biotechnology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 5.64 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.59 | 4.59 | 0.00 |
|
Sana Biotechnology Hype Timeline
Sana Biotechnology is at this time traded for 4.59. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.5. Sana is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sana Biotechnology is about 404.01%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.09. About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.96. Sana Biotechnology had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sana Biotechnology to cross-verify your projections.Sana Biotechnology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sana Biotechnology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sana Biotechnology's future price movements. Getting to know how Sana Biotechnology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sana Biotechnology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GILD | Gilead Sciences | (0.69) | 7 per month | 1.26 | 0.16 | 3.01 | (2.41) | 6.70 | |
| SNY | Sanofi ADR | (0.12) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.87 | (2.19) | 5.92 | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc | (6.78) | 6 per month | 1.25 | 0.11 | 3.47 | (2.59) | 11.18 | |
| MRK | Merck Company | 0.05 | 6 per month | 1.09 | 0.24 | 3.59 | (1.98) | 8.09 | |
| NVO | Novo Nordisk AS | 0.56 | 6 per month | 3.26 | (0.01) | 5.80 | (4.02) | 13.19 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sana Biotechnology
For every potential investor in Sana, whether a beginner or expert, Sana Biotechnology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sana Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sana. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sana Biotechnology's price trends.Sana Biotechnology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sana Biotechnology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sana Biotechnology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sana Biotechnology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sana Biotechnology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sana Biotechnology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sana Biotechnology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sana Biotechnology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sana Biotechnology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sana Biotechnology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sana Biotechnology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sana Biotechnology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sana stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.27 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.72 | |||
| Variance | 32.71 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sana Biotechnology
The number of cover stories for Sana Biotechnology depends on current market conditions and Sana Biotechnology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sana Biotechnology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sana Biotechnology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Sana Biotechnology Short Properties
Sana Biotechnology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sana Biotechnology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sana Biotechnology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sana Biotechnology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sana Biotechnology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 230.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 152.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sana Biotechnology to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Sana Stock refer to our How to Trade Sana Stock guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sana Biotechnology. If investors know Sana will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Sana Biotechnology assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Understanding Sana Biotechnology requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Sana's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Sana Biotechnology's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Sana Biotechnology's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sana Biotechnology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sana Biotechnology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Sana Biotechnology's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.