SW Seed Stock Forward View
| SANW Stock | USD 0 0.11 98.73% |
SANW Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of SW Seed's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 25 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.02 |
Using SW Seed hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SW Seed Company from the perspective of SW Seed response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SW Seed Company on the next trading day is expected to be -0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.62. SW Seed after-hype prediction price | USD 0.001436 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. SW Seed Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SANW price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SANW using various technical indicators. When you analyze SANW charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the SW Seed's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2009-06-30 | Previous Quarter 1.4 M | Current Value 354.5 K | Quarterly Volatility 2.9 M |
SW Seed Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SW Seed Company on the next trading day is expected to be -0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SANW Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SW Seed's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SW Seed Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SW Seed | SW Seed Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SW Seed stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SW Seed stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.4014 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0265 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.6311 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.615 |
Predictive Modules for SW Seed
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SW Seed Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SW Seed After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SW Seed at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SW Seed or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SW Seed, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SW Seed Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SW Seed's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SW Seed's historical news coverage. SW Seed's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 25.44, respectively. We have considered SW Seed's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SW Seed is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SW Seed Company is based on 3 months time horizon.
SW Seed Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SW Seed is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SW Seed backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SW Seed, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.49 | 25.44 | 0.00 | 0.94 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0 | 0 | 2.56 |
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SW Seed Hype Timeline
SW Seed Company is at this time traded for 0. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.94. SANW is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.001436 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 2.56%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.49%. The volatility of related hype on SW Seed is about 4045.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.94. SW Seed Company currently holds 54.32 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.91, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.SW Seed Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SW Seed's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SW Seed's future price movements. Getting to know how SW Seed's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SW Seed may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| YHC | LQR House | 0.02 | 9 per month | 4.06 | 0.01 | 8.54 | (6.67) | 29.41 | |
| AMBO | Ambow Education Holding | (0.11) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 10.58 | (8.57) | 23.92 | |
| MGNC | Mag Magna Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 12.71 | 0.21 | 48.15 | (31.25) | 157.59 | |
| STKH | Steakholder Foods | 0.05 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 11.34 | (12.77) | 33.47 | |
| KIDZ | Classover Holdings Class | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 7.69 | (13.33) | 35.31 | |
| LXEH | Lixiang Education Holding | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 9.38 | (10.34) | 79.55 | |
| TKLF | Yoshitsu Co Ltd | 0.04 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.57 | (6.73) | 21.02 | |
| RPDL | Rapid Line | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.41 | 0.11 | 23.53 | (18.18) | 95.83 | |
| VAPE | Vape Holdings | 5.64 | 7 per month | 7.89 | 0.11 | 20.36 | (18.17) | 577.38 |
SW Seed Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SW Seed stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SW Seed could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SW Seed by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SW Seed Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SW Seed stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SW Seed shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SW Seed stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SW Seed Company entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.0127 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0014 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0014 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.05) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.11) |
SW Seed Risk Indicators
The analysis of SW Seed's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SW Seed's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sanw stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 16.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 24.34 | |||
| Variance | 592.46 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SW Seed
The number of cover stories for SW Seed depends on current market conditions and SW Seed's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SW Seed is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SW Seed's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SW Seed Short Properties
SW Seed's future price predictability will typically decrease when SW Seed's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SW Seed Company often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SW Seed's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SW Seed's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 294 K |
Additional Tools for SANW Stock Analysis
When running SW Seed's price analysis, check to measure SW Seed's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SW Seed is operating at the current time. Most of SW Seed's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SW Seed's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SW Seed's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SW Seed to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.