Shivalik Bimetal Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SBCL Stock   572.25  4.90  0.86%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Shivalik Bimetal Controls on the next trading day is expected to be 569.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 13.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 819.10. Shivalik Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Shivalik Bimetal's Net Receivables is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to gain to about 4.6 B in 2024, whereas Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop slightly above 597.5 M in 2024.
A naive forecasting model for Shivalik Bimetal is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Shivalik Bimetal Controls value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Shivalik Bimetal Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Shivalik Bimetal Controls on the next trading day is expected to be 569.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 13.43, mean absolute percentage error of 319.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 819.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shivalik Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shivalik Bimetal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shivalik Bimetal Stock Forecast Pattern

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Shivalik Bimetal Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shivalik Bimetal's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shivalik Bimetal's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 566.56 and 571.82, respectively. We have considered Shivalik Bimetal's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
572.25
566.56
Downside
569.19
Expected Value
571.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shivalik Bimetal stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shivalik Bimetal stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.8778
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation13.4279
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0211
SAESum of the absolute errors819.1032
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Shivalik Bimetal Controls. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Shivalik Bimetal. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Shivalik Bimetal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shivalik Bimetal Controls. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
570.10572.75575.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
503.71506.36629.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
553.98592.56631.14
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
5.175.175.17
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Shivalik Bimetal

For every potential investor in Shivalik, whether a beginner or expert, Shivalik Bimetal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shivalik Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shivalik. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shivalik Bimetal's price trends.

Shivalik Bimetal Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shivalik Bimetal stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shivalik Bimetal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shivalik Bimetal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shivalik Bimetal Controls Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shivalik Bimetal's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shivalik Bimetal's current price.

Shivalik Bimetal Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shivalik Bimetal stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shivalik Bimetal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shivalik Bimetal stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shivalik Bimetal Controls entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shivalik Bimetal Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shivalik Bimetal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shivalik Bimetal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shivalik stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Shivalik Stock Analysis

When running Shivalik Bimetal's price analysis, check to measure Shivalik Bimetal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shivalik Bimetal is operating at the current time. Most of Shivalik Bimetal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shivalik Bimetal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shivalik Bimetal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shivalik Bimetal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.