SBC Medical Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

SBCWW Stock   0.30  0.02  6.25%   
SBC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of SBC Medical's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SBC Medical's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SBC Medical and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SBC Medical's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SBC Medical Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting SBC Medical's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.194
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.18)
Using SBC Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SBC Medical Group from the perspective of SBC Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of SBC Medical Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.09.

SBC Medical after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SBC Medical to cross-verify your projections.

SBC Medical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SBC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SBC using various technical indicators. When you analyze SBC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for SBC Medical is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

SBC Medical Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of SBC Medical Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SBC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SBC Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SBC Medical Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest SBC Medical  SBC Medical Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

SBC Medical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SBC Medical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SBC Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 13.13, respectively. We have considered SBC Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.30
0.30
Expected Value
13.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SBC Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SBC Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.8644
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0022
MADMean absolute deviation0.0183
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0921
SAESum of the absolute errors1.095
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of SBC Medical Group price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of SBC Medical. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for SBC Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SBC Medical Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SBC Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.3513.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.2313.06
Details

SBC Medical After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SBC Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SBC Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SBC Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SBC Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SBC Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SBC Medical's historical news coverage. SBC Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 13.18, respectively. We have considered SBC Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.30
0.35
After-hype Price
13.18
Upside
SBC Medical is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SBC Medical Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

SBC Medical Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SBC Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SBC Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SBC Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  2.37 
12.83
  0.05 
  0.07 
6 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.30
0.35
16.67 
64,150  
Notes

SBC Medical Hype Timeline

SBC Medical Group is at this time traded for 0.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. SBC is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.35 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 16.67%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 2.37%. The volatility of related hype on SBC Medical is about 44241.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.23. SBC Medical Group has accumulated 12.21 M in total debt. Note, when we think about SBC Medical's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SBC Medical to cross-verify your projections.

SBC Medical Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SBC Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SBC Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how SBC Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SBC Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CJMBCallan JMB Common(0.15)8 per month 10.07  0.04  7.69 (16.58) 300.80 
HCAIHuachen AI Parking 0.01 8 per month 0.00 (0.16) 8.57 (14.29) 46.58 
CAPTCaptivision Ordinary Shares(0.11)5 per month 8.95  0.05  22.86 (16.33) 62.12 
TOMZTOMI Environmental Solutions 0.00 9 per month 0.00 (0.17) 3.90 (5.00) 10.89 
WFFWF Holding Limited(0.01)6 per month 0.00 (0.09) 13.64 (8.47) 63.23 
ELPWElong Power Holding 0.10 5 per month 14.89  0.11  11.61 (29.27) 3,232 
GRNQGreenPro Capital Corp 0.07 5 per month 3.61  0.07  8.13 (5.13) 25.63 
GTECGreenland Acquisition Corp(0.26)10 per month 9.29  0  19.23 (14.86) 50.83 
CTRMCastor Maritime 0.15 7 per month 3.43  0.02  8.37 (5.85) 22.85 
GFAIGuardforce AI Co(0.09)3 per month 0.00 (0.18) 10.94 (10.39) 26.91 

Other Forecasting Options for SBC Medical

For every potential investor in SBC, whether a beginner or expert, SBC Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SBC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SBC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SBC Medical's price trends.

SBC Medical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SBC Medical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SBC Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SBC Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SBC Medical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SBC Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SBC Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SBC Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SBC Medical Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SBC Medical Risk Indicators

The analysis of SBC Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SBC Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sbc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for SBC Medical

The number of cover stories for SBC Medical depends on current market conditions and SBC Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SBC Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SBC Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

SBC Medical Short Properties

SBC Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when SBC Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SBC Medical Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SBC Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SBC Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding96.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments125 M

Additional Tools for SBC Stock Analysis

When running SBC Medical's price analysis, check to measure SBC Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SBC Medical is operating at the current time. Most of SBC Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SBC Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SBC Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SBC Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.