1919 Financial Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

1919 Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine 1919 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for 1919 using various technical indicators. When you analyze 1919 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. 1919 Financial simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for 1919 Financial Services are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as 1919 Financial Services prices get older.

1919 Financial Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 1919 Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 26.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.40.

1919 Financial Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest 1919 Financial

1919 Financial Price Prediction

Research Analysis

1919 Financial Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 1919 Financial mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 1919 Financial mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting 1919 Financial Services forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent 1919 Financial observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for 1919 Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1919 Financial Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 17.43 19.76 29.23 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 24.89 27.22 29.55 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 25.96 26.50 27.05 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 1919 Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 1919 Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 1919 Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 1919 Financial Services.

1919 Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis

1919 Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

1919 Financial Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

1919 Financial Hype Timeline

1919 Financial Services is at this time traded for 26.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -6.81, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -8.34. 1919 is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 19.76. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 13.01%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -25.63%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.38%. The volatility of related hype on 1919 Financial is about 10.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.23. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.61. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. 1919 Financial Services last dividend was issued on the 5th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 1919 Financial to cross-verify your projections.

1919 Financial Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for 1919 Financial

For every potential investor in 1919, whether a beginner or expert, 1919 Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 1919 Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 1919. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 1919 Financial's price trends.

1919 Financial Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

1919 Financial Market Strength Events

1919 Financial Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for 1919 Financial

Other Macroaxis Stories

Other Information on Investing in 1919 Mutual Fund