Sinclair Broadcast Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SBGI Stock | USD 15.05 0.39 2.53% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sinclair Broadcast Group on the next trading day is expected to be 15.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.05. Sinclair Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sinclair Broadcast's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength momentum indicator of Sinclair Broadcast's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.87) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.66) | EPS Estimate Current Year (3.09) | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.0863 | Wall Street Target Price 17.2857 |
Using Sinclair Broadcast hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sinclair Broadcast Group from the perspective of Sinclair Broadcast response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sinclair Broadcast using Sinclair Broadcast's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sinclair using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sinclair Broadcast's stock price.
Sinclair Broadcast Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Sinclair Broadcast's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Sinclair. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Sinclair Broadcast stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 14.5075 | Short Percent 0.2534 | Short Ratio 7.87 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.1 M | 50 Day MA 15.5646 |
Sinclair Broadcast Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sinclair Broadcast's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sinclair. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sinclair can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sinclair Broadcast Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Sinclair Broadcast Implied Volatility | 0.83 |
Sinclair Broadcast's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sinclair Broadcast Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sinclair Broadcast's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sinclair Broadcast stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sinclair Broadcast's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sinclair Broadcast Group on the next trading day is expected to be 15.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.05. Sinclair Broadcast after-hype prediction price | USD 15.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sinclair Broadcast to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sinclair contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sinclair Broadcast Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0519% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Sinclair Broadcast trading at USD 15.05, that is roughly USD 0.007807 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sinclair Broadcast's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sinclair Broadcast Group options at the current volatility level of 0.83%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Sinclair Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sinclair Broadcast's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sinclair Broadcast's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sinclair Broadcast stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sinclair Broadcast's open interest, investors have to compare it to Sinclair Broadcast's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sinclair Broadcast is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sinclair. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Sinclair Broadcast Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sinclair price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sinclair using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sinclair charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sinclair Broadcast Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Sinclair Broadcast's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1994-12-31 | Previous Quarter 616 M | Current Value 526 M | Quarterly Volatility 374.3 M |
Sinclair Broadcast Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sinclair Broadcast Group on the next trading day is expected to be 15.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sinclair Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sinclair Broadcast's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sinclair Broadcast Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sinclair Broadcast | Sinclair Broadcast Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sinclair Broadcast Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sinclair Broadcast's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sinclair Broadcast's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.18 and 18.75, respectively. We have considered Sinclair Broadcast's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sinclair Broadcast stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sinclair Broadcast stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.9592 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4685 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0311 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 29.0477 |
Predictive Modules for Sinclair Broadcast
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sinclair Broadcast. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sinclair Broadcast After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sinclair Broadcast at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sinclair Broadcast or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sinclair Broadcast, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sinclair Broadcast Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sinclair Broadcast's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sinclair Broadcast's historical news coverage. Sinclair Broadcast's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.72 and 18.30, respectively. We have considered Sinclair Broadcast's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sinclair Broadcast is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sinclair Broadcast is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sinclair Broadcast Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sinclair Broadcast is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sinclair Broadcast backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sinclair Broadcast, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 3.29 | 0.04 | 0.34 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.05 | 15.01 | 0.27 |
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Sinclair Broadcast Hype Timeline
Sinclair Broadcast is at this time traded for 15.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.34. Sinclair is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 15.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.27%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Sinclair Broadcast is about 263.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.39. About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Sinclair Broadcast was at this time reported as 4.98. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.89. Sinclair Broadcast recorded a loss per share of 0.56. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 29th of May 1998. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sinclair Broadcast to cross-verify your projections.Sinclair Broadcast Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sinclair Broadcast's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sinclair Broadcast's future price movements. Getting to know how Sinclair Broadcast's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sinclair Broadcast may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SSTK | Shutterstock | 0.15 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.38 | (4.09) | 16.71 | |
| DLX | Deluxe | 0.21 | 2 per month | 1.44 | 0.16 | 3.55 | (2.39) | 18.48 | |
| CABO | Cable One | 10.53 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 4.00 | (7.60) | 17.97 | |
| GETY | Getty Images Holdings | (0.12) | 21 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 5.51 | (6.63) | 18.86 | |
| ATHM | Autohome | 0.21 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.84 | (3.05) | 7.71 | |
| TBLA | Taboola | 0.02 | 17 per month | 1.65 | 0.16 | 3.94 | (3.70) | 15.48 | |
| HUYA | HUYA Inc | (0.01) | 16 per month | 2.59 | 0.05 | 6.30 | (4.38) | 19.32 | |
| EVER | EverQuote Class A | 0.40 | 10 per month | 2.11 | 0.09 | 4.31 | (3.84) | 14.16 | |
| PLAY | Dave Busters Entertainment | 0.72 | 9 per month | 3.37 | 0.05 | 7.62 | (5.70) | 21.14 | |
| GLIBA | GCI Liberty | 0.38 | 8 per month | 2.30 | 0.01 | 3.52 | (3.31) | 13.46 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sinclair Broadcast
For every potential investor in Sinclair, whether a beginner or expert, Sinclair Broadcast's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sinclair Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sinclair. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sinclair Broadcast's price trends.Sinclair Broadcast Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sinclair Broadcast stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sinclair Broadcast could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sinclair Broadcast by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sinclair Broadcast Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sinclair Broadcast stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sinclair Broadcast shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sinclair Broadcast stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sinclair Broadcast Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 27714.23 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.55) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 15.12 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 15.09 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.26) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.39) |
Sinclair Broadcast Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sinclair Broadcast's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sinclair Broadcast's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sinclair stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.18 | |||
| Variance | 10.14 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.05 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.55 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.17) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sinclair Broadcast
The number of cover stories for Sinclair Broadcast depends on current market conditions and Sinclair Broadcast's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sinclair Broadcast is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sinclair Broadcast's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Sinclair Broadcast Short Properties
Sinclair Broadcast's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sinclair Broadcast's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sinclair Broadcast Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sinclair Broadcast's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sinclair Broadcast's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 697 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sinclair Broadcast to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Broadcasting space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sinclair Broadcast. If investors know Sinclair will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sinclair Broadcast listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.87) | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share (0.56) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.16) |
The market value of Sinclair Broadcast is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sinclair that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sinclair Broadcast's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sinclair Broadcast's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sinclair Broadcast's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sinclair Broadcast's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sinclair Broadcast's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sinclair Broadcast is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sinclair Broadcast's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.