Schneider Electric Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

SBGSF Stock  USD 254.50  1.70  0.67%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Schneider Electric SE on the next trading day is expected to be 249.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 231.68. Schneider Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Schneider Electric's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Schneider Electric is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Schneider Electric SE value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Schneider Electric Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Schneider Electric SE on the next trading day is expected to be 249.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.80, mean absolute percentage error of 24.94, and the sum of the absolute errors of 231.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Schneider Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Schneider Electric's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Schneider Electric Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Schneider ElectricSchneider Electric Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Schneider Electric Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Schneider Electric's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Schneider Electric's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 247.24 and 251.64, respectively. We have considered Schneider Electric's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
254.50
247.24
Downside
249.44
Expected Value
251.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Schneider Electric pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Schneider Electric pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.327
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.798
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0145
SAESum of the absolute errors231.6778
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Schneider Electric SE. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Schneider Electric. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Schneider Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Schneider Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Schneider Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
252.30254.50256.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
206.49208.69279.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
252.33253.93255.54
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Schneider Electric

For every potential investor in Schneider, whether a beginner or expert, Schneider Electric's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Schneider Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Schneider. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Schneider Electric's price trends.

View Schneider Electric Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Schneider Electric Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Schneider Electric's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Schneider Electric's current price.

Schneider Electric Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Schneider Electric pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Schneider Electric shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Schneider Electric pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Schneider Electric SE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Schneider Electric Risk Indicators

The analysis of Schneider Electric's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Schneider Electric's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting schneider pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Schneider Pink Sheet

Schneider Electric financial ratios help investors to determine whether Schneider Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Schneider with respect to the benefits of owning Schneider Electric security.