Southern BancShares Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SBNC Stock | USD 12,000 800.00 7.14% |
Southern Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Southern BancShares stock prices and determine the direction of Southern BancShares NC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Southern BancShares' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Southern BancShares' share price is above 70 at the present time. This usually implies that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Southern, making its price go up or down. Momentum 73
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Southern BancShares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Southern BancShares NC from the perspective of Southern BancShares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Southern BancShares NC on the next trading day is expected to be 11,999 with a mean absolute deviation of 88.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,302. Southern BancShares after-hype prediction price | USD 12000.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Southern |
Southern BancShares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Southern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Southern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Southern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Southern BancShares Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Southern BancShares NC on the next trading day is expected to be 11,999 with a mean absolute deviation of 88.37, mean absolute percentage error of 40,854, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,302.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Southern Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Southern BancShares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Southern BancShares Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Southern BancShares | Southern BancShares Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Southern BancShares Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Southern BancShares' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Southern BancShares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11,997 and 12,001, respectively. We have considered Southern BancShares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Southern BancShares pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Southern BancShares pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 126.8904 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -45.285 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 88.37 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.008 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5302.2021 |
Predictive Modules for Southern BancShares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southern BancShares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Southern BancShares After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Southern BancShares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Southern BancShares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Southern BancShares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Southern BancShares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Southern BancShares' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Southern BancShares' historical news coverage. Southern BancShares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11,998 and 12,002, respectively. We have considered Southern BancShares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Southern BancShares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Southern BancShares is based on 3 months time horizon.
Southern BancShares Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Southern BancShares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Southern BancShares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Southern BancShares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 1.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12,000 | 12,000 | 0.00 |
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Southern BancShares Hype Timeline
Southern BancShares is at this time traded for 12,000. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Southern is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Southern BancShares is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12,000. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 547.29. Southern BancShares last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2023. The entity had 25:1 split on the June 7, 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southern BancShares to cross-verify your projections.Southern BancShares Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Southern BancShares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Southern BancShares' future price movements. Getting to know how Southern BancShares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Southern BancShares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FMCB | Farmers Merchants Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.66 | 0.12 | 2.33 | (1.46) | 6.17 | |
| GKSGF | Grenke AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.60 | |
| HACBY | Hachijuni Bank Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.60 | |
| HBIA | Hills Bancorporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1.96 | (0.01) | 6.08 | |
| WTBFB | WTB Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.27 | 0.16 | 1.33 | (1.13) | 3.88 | |
| SPXXF | SpareBank 1 Nord Norge | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RCBC | River City Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 23.14 | 0.24 | 900.00 | (89.87) | 990.02 | |
| FBAK | First National Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | 0.08 | 2.74 | (1.92) | 10.88 | |
| GRCGF | Guardian Capital Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for Southern BancShares
For every potential investor in Southern, whether a beginner or expert, Southern BancShares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Southern Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Southern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Southern BancShares' price trends.Southern BancShares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Southern BancShares pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Southern BancShares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Southern BancShares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Southern BancShares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Southern BancShares pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Southern BancShares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Southern BancShares pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Southern BancShares NC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.07 | |||
| Day Median Price | 12000.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 12000.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 400.0 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 800.0 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 73.72 |
Southern BancShares Risk Indicators
The analysis of Southern BancShares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Southern BancShares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting southern pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9438 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8044 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Variance | 3.68 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.96 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6471 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.22) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Southern BancShares
The number of cover stories for Southern BancShares depends on current market conditions and Southern BancShares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Southern BancShares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Southern BancShares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Southern Pink Sheet
Southern BancShares financial ratios help investors to determine whether Southern Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Southern with respect to the benefits of owning Southern BancShares security.