Sch Environnement Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing

SCB Stock  EUR 79.00  1.60  2.07%   
Sch Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sch Environnement's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Sch Environnement's stock price is roughly 62. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 30th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sch, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 62

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sch Environnement's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sch Environnement and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sch Environnement's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sch Environnement SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Sch Environnement hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sch Environnement SA from the perspective of Sch Environnement response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sch Environnement SA on the next trading day is expected to be 79.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.94.

Sch Environnement after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 0.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sch Environnement to cross-verify your projections.

Sch Environnement Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sch price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sch using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sch charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Sch Environnement works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Sch Environnement Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sch Environnement SA on the next trading day is expected to be 79.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19, mean absolute percentage error of 2.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sch Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sch Environnement's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sch Environnement Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sch Environnement  Sch Environnement Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Sch Environnement Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sch Environnement's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sch Environnement's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 77.25 and 81.55, respectively. We have considered Sch Environnement's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
79.00
79.40
Expected Value
81.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sch Environnement stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sch Environnement stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.29
MADMean absolute deviation1.1854
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0169
SAESum of the absolute errors69.9403
When Sch Environnement SA prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Sch Environnement SA trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Sch Environnement observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Sch Environnement

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sch Environnement. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.002.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.002.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
69.1474.8980.65
Details

Sch Environnement After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sch Environnement at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sch Environnement or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sch Environnement, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sch Environnement Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sch Environnement's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sch Environnement's historical news coverage. Sch Environnement's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 2.19, respectively. We have considered Sch Environnement's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
79.00
0.00
After-hype Price
2.19
Upside
Sch Environnement is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sch Environnement is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sch Environnement Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sch Environnement is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sch Environnement backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sch Environnement, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
2.15
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
79.00
0.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Sch Environnement Hype Timeline

Sch Environnement is at this time traded for 79.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sch is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sch Environnement is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 79.00. About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Sch Environnement was at this time reported as 37.76. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.15. Sch Environnement last dividend was issued on the 8th of July 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sch Environnement to cross-verify your projections.

Sch Environnement Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sch Environnement's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sch Environnement's future price movements. Getting to know how Sch Environnement's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sch Environnement may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Sch Environnement

For every potential investor in Sch, whether a beginner or expert, Sch Environnement's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sch Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sch. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sch Environnement's price trends.

Sch Environnement Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sch Environnement stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sch Environnement could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sch Environnement by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sch Environnement Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sch Environnement stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sch Environnement shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sch Environnement stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sch Environnement SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sch Environnement Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sch Environnement's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sch Environnement's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sch stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Sch Environnement

The number of cover stories for Sch Environnement depends on current market conditions and Sch Environnement's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sch Environnement is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sch Environnement's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Sch Stock

Sch Environnement financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sch Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sch with respect to the benefits of owning Sch Environnement security.