Sporting Clube Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| SCB Stock | EUR 15.30 0.00 0.00% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sporting Clube de on the next trading day is expected to be 15.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.40. Sporting Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Sporting Clube's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Sporting Clube hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sporting Clube de from the perspective of Sporting Clube response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sporting Clube de on the next trading day is expected to be 15.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.40. Sporting Clube after-hype prediction price | EUR 15.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sporting |
Sporting Clube Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sporting price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sporting using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sporting charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Sporting Clube Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sporting Clube de on the next trading day is expected to be 15.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.40.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sporting Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sporting Clube's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sporting Clube Stock Forecast Pattern
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Sporting Clube Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sporting Clube's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sporting Clube's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.56 and 16.04, respectively. We have considered Sporting Clube's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sporting Clube stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sporting Clube stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0034 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0237 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0016 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.4 |
Predictive Modules for Sporting Clube
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sporting Clube de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sporting Clube After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sporting Clube at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sporting Clube or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sporting Clube, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sporting Clube Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sporting Clube's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sporting Clube's historical news coverage. Sporting Clube's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.56 and 16.04, respectively. We have considered Sporting Clube's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sporting Clube is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sporting Clube de is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sporting Clube Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sporting Clube is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sporting Clube backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sporting Clube, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.30 | 15.30 | 0.00 |
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Sporting Clube Hype Timeline
Sporting Clube de is at this time traded for 15.30on Euronext Lisbon of Portugal. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sporting is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sporting Clube is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.30. About 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.6. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sporting Clube de had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sporting Clube to cross-verify your projections.Sporting Clube Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sporting Clube's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sporting Clube's future price movements. Getting to know how Sporting Clube's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sporting Clube may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FCP | Futebol Clube do | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.82 | 0.08 | 9.52 | (9.09) | 33.78 | |
| SLBEN | Benfica | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.26 | (0.02) | 1.68 | (1.88) | 7.39 | |
| SCP | Sporting Clube de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.99 | (0.05) | 2.00 | (1.98) | 4.96 | |
| AJAX | AFC Ajax NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.35 | (1.96) | 8.33 | |
| EGL | Mota Engil SGPS SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 3.14 | (3.66) | 10.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sporting Clube
For every potential investor in Sporting, whether a beginner or expert, Sporting Clube's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sporting Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sporting. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sporting Clube's price trends.Sporting Clube Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sporting Clube stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sporting Clube could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sporting Clube by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sporting Clube Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sporting Clube stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sporting Clube shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sporting Clube stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sporting Clube de entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sporting Clube Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sporting Clube's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sporting Clube's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sporting stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1627 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7395 | |||
| Variance | 0.5469 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sporting Clube
The number of cover stories for Sporting Clube depends on current market conditions and Sporting Clube's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sporting Clube is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sporting Clube's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Sporting Stock Analysis
When running Sporting Clube's price analysis, check to measure Sporting Clube's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sporting Clube is operating at the current time. Most of Sporting Clube's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sporting Clube's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sporting Clube's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sporting Clube to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.