Sterling Capital Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SCEC Etf | 25.37 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sterling Capital Enhanced on the next trading day is expected to be 25.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.35. Sterling Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sterling Capital stock prices and determine the direction of Sterling Capital Enhanced's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sterling Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of Sterling Capital's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Sterling Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sterling Capital Enhanced from the perspective of Sterling Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sterling Capital Enhanced on the next trading day is expected to be 25.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.35. Sterling Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 25.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sterling | Build AI portfolio with Sterling Etf |
Sterling Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sterling price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sterling using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sterling charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sterling Capital Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sterling Capital Enhanced on the next trading day is expected to be 25.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sterling Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sterling Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sterling Capital Etf Forecast Pattern
Sterling Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sterling Capital's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sterling Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.10 and 25.45, respectively. We have considered Sterling Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sterling Capital etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sterling Capital etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.0299 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0385 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0015 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.3456 |
Predictive Modules for Sterling Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sterling Capital Enhanced. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sterling Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sterling Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Sterling Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sterling Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Sterling Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sterling Capital Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Sterling Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sterling Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sterling Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.37 | 25.37 | 0.00 |
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Sterling Capital Hype Timeline
Sterling Capital Enhanced is at this time traded for 25.37. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sterling is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sterling Capital is about 1125.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.37. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out fundamental analysis of Sterling Capital to check your projections.Sterling Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sterling Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sterling Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Sterling Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sterling Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BSJS | Invesco BulletShares 2028 | (0.03) | 20 per month | 0.00 | (0.61) | 0.23 | (0.18) | 0.55 | |
| YLD | Principal Active High | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.11 | (0.33) | 0.47 | (0.32) | 1.11 | |
| HYBL | SSGA Active Trust | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.47) | 0.25 | (0.21) | 0.68 | |
| TOTR | T Rowe Price | (0.03) | 3 per month | 0.18 | (0.46) | 0.30 | (0.32) | 1.06 | |
| JMSI | JP Morgan Exchange Traded | 0.02 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.70) | 0.18 | (0.20) | 0.58 | |
| MUST | Columbia Multi Sector Municipal | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.22 | (0.31) | 0.44 | (0.44) | 1.35 | |
| SIXH | ETC 6 Meridian | (0.08) | 1 per month | 0.19 | (0.04) | 0.92 | (0.70) | 2.07 | |
| CMBS | iShares CMBS ETF | 0.17 | 9 per month | 0.13 | (0.50) | 0.45 | (0.26) | 0.82 | |
| JPRE | JPMorgan Realty Income | 0.03 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.97 | (1.38) | 3.26 | |
| IBND | SPDR Bloomberg International | 0.09 | 3 per month | 0.22 | (0.29) | 0.65 | (0.38) | 1.29 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sterling Capital
For every potential investor in Sterling, whether a beginner or expert, Sterling Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sterling Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sterling. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sterling Capital's price trends.Sterling Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sterling Capital etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sterling Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sterling Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sterling Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sterling Capital etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sterling Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sterling Capital etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Sterling Capital Enhanced entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.002 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 25.35 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 25.35 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.05 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.025 |
Sterling Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sterling Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sterling Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sterling etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1279 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1604 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1724 | |||
| Variance | 0.0297 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0405 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0257 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.14) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sterling Capital
The number of cover stories for Sterling Capital depends on current market conditions and Sterling Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sterling Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sterling Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out fundamental analysis of Sterling Capital to check your projections. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
The market value of Sterling Capital Enhanced is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sterling that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sterling Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sterling Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sterling Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sterling Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sterling Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sterling Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sterling Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.