Scope Metals Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

SCOP Stock  ILA 18,090  100.00  0.56%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Scope Metals Group on the next trading day is expected to be 18,383 with a mean absolute deviation of 567.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34,599. Scope Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Scope Metals stock prices and determine the direction of Scope Metals Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Scope Metals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of rsi of Scope Metals' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Scope Metals' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Scope Metals Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Scope Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Scope Metals Group from the perspective of Scope Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Scope Metals Group on the next trading day is expected to be 18,383 with a mean absolute deviation of 567.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34,599.

Scope Metals after-hype prediction price

    
  ILA 18090.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Scope Metals to cross-verify your projections.

Scope Metals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Scope price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Scope using various technical indicators. When you analyze Scope charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Scope Metals price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Scope Metals Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Scope Metals Group on the next trading day is expected to be 18,383 with a mean absolute deviation of 567.20, mean absolute percentage error of 481,452, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34,599.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Scope Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Scope Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Scope Metals Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Scope MetalsScope Metals Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Scope Metals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Scope Metals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Scope Metals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18,381 and 18,384, respectively. We have considered Scope Metals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18,090
18,381
Downside
18,383
Expected Value
18,384
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Scope Metals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Scope Metals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria131.1951
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation567.1957
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0337
SAESum of the absolute errors34598.9353
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Scope Metals Group historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Scope Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scope Metals Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18,08818,09018,092
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16,28120,79020,792
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14,64217,17919,715
Details

Scope Metals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Scope Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Scope Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Scope Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Scope Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Scope Metals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Scope Metals' historical news coverage. Scope Metals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18,088 and 18,092, respectively. We have considered Scope Metals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
18,090
18,088
Downside
18,090
After-hype Price
18,092
Upside
Scope Metals is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Scope Metals Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Scope Metals Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Scope Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Scope Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Scope Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.32 
1.65
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18,090
18,090
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Scope Metals Hype Timeline

Scope Metals Group is at this time traded for 18,090on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Scope is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Scope Metals is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18,090. About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Scope Metals was at this time reported as 60.94. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 19.5. Scope Metals Group last dividend was issued on the 12th of January 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Scope Metals to cross-verify your projections.

Scope Metals Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Scope Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Scope Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how Scope Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Scope Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PLRMPalram 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.92 (3.01) 20.31 
PLSNPlasson Indus 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.44 (3.22) 15.65 
FBRTFMS Enterprises Migun 0.00 0 per month 1.18  0.24  3.98 (2.39) 9.62 
LEVILevinstein Eng 0.00 0 per month 0.74  0.26  4.86 (2.06) 9.07 
TATTTAT Technologies 0.00 0 per month 2.35  0.12  5.33 (4.85) 14.00 
CDEVCohen Dev 0.00 0 per month 1.69 (0.0005) 3.18 (2.70) 10.21 
ASHOAshot Ashkelon Industries 0.00 0 per month 1.78  0.25  5.24 (3.51) 12.79 
LUZNAmos Luzon Development 0.00 0 per month 0.43  0.37  3.96 (1.86) 8.02 
RMONRimon Consulting Management 0.00 0 per month 2.18  0.19  5.12 (3.68) 14.85 
ORBIOrbit Technologies 0.00 0 per month 1.15  0.08  4.15 (2.45) 14.73 

Other Forecasting Options for Scope Metals

For every potential investor in Scope, whether a beginner or expert, Scope Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Scope Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Scope. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Scope Metals' price trends.

Scope Metals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Scope Metals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Scope Metals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Scope Metals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Scope Metals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Scope Metals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Scope Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Scope Metals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Scope Metals Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Scope Metals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Scope Metals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Scope Metals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting scope stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Scope Metals

The number of cover stories for Scope Metals depends on current market conditions and Scope Metals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Scope Metals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Scope Metals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Scope Stock

Scope Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Scope Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Scope with respect to the benefits of owning Scope Metals security.