Sentinel Mon Mutual Fund Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

SCRLX Fund  USD 72.51  0.41  0.57%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Sentinel Mon Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 71.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.79. Sentinel Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Sentinel Mon Stock is based on a synthetically constructed Sentinel Mondaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Sentinel Mon 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Sentinel Mon Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 71.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90, mean absolute percentage error of 1.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.79.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sentinel Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sentinel Mon's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sentinel Mon Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Sentinel Mon Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sentinel Mon's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sentinel Mon's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 71.10 and 72.54, respectively. We have considered Sentinel Mon's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
72.51
71.82
Expected Value
72.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sentinel Mon mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sentinel Mon mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria81.3777
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.7739
MADMean absolute deviation0.8974
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0126
SAESum of the absolute errors36.7935
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Sentinel Mon Stock 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Sentinel Mon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sentinel Mon Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
71.7972.5173.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
71.0671.7879.76
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sentinel Mon

For every potential investor in Sentinel, whether a beginner or expert, Sentinel Mon's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sentinel Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sentinel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sentinel Mon's price trends.

Sentinel Mon Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sentinel Mon mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sentinel Mon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sentinel Mon by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sentinel Mon Stock Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sentinel Mon's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sentinel Mon's current price.

Sentinel Mon Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sentinel Mon mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sentinel Mon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sentinel Mon mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Sentinel Mon Stock entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sentinel Mon Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sentinel Mon's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sentinel Mon's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sentinel mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Sentinel Mutual Fund

Sentinel Mon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sentinel Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sentinel with respect to the benefits of owning Sentinel Mon security.
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