Sentinel Common Mutual Fund Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SCSCX Fund  USD 73.00  0.72  1.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sentinel Mon Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 73.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.47. Sentinel Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Sentinel Common's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sentinel Common's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sentinel Mon Stock, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Sentinel Common hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sentinel Mon Stock from the perspective of Sentinel Common response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sentinel Mon Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 73.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.47.

Sentinel Common after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 73.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sentinel Common to cross-verify your projections.

Sentinel Common Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sentinel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sentinel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sentinel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Sentinel Common - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Sentinel Common prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Sentinel Common price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Sentinel Mon Stock.

Sentinel Common Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sentinel Mon Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 73.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sentinel Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sentinel Common's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sentinel Common Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sentinel CommonSentinel Common Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Sentinel Common Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sentinel Common's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sentinel Common's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 72.39 and 73.89, respectively. We have considered Sentinel Common's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
73.00
73.14
Expected Value
73.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sentinel Common mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sentinel Common mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1161
MADMean absolute deviation0.4147
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0058
SAESum of the absolute errors24.47
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Sentinel Common observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Sentinel Mon Stock observations.

Predictive Modules for Sentinel Common

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sentinel Mon Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sentinel Common's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
72.2573.0073.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.9871.7380.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
70.5572.4774.38
Details

Sentinel Common After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sentinel Common at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sentinel Common or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Sentinel Common, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sentinel Common Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sentinel Common's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sentinel Common's historical news coverage. Sentinel Common's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 72.25 and 73.75, respectively. We have considered Sentinel Common's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
73.00
73.00
After-hype Price
73.75
Upside
Sentinel Common is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sentinel Mon Stock is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sentinel Common Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Sentinel Common is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sentinel Common backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sentinel Common, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
0.75
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
73.00
73.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Sentinel Common Hype Timeline

Sentinel Mon Stock is at this time traded for 73.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sentinel is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sentinel Common is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 73.00. The company last dividend was issued on the 11th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sentinel Common to cross-verify your projections.

Sentinel Common Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sentinel Common's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sentinel Common's future price movements. Getting to know how Sentinel Common's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sentinel Common may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SICWXSentinel Mon Stock 0.00 0 per month 0.77 (0.04) 1.28 (1.43) 3.51 
MRGAXMfs E Equity 0.00 0 per month 0.52  0.09  1.20 (1.39) 16.85 
SEFCXSit International Equity 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.16  1.22 (1.11) 15.67 
SGRKXWells Fargo Growth 0.00 0 per month 0.70  0.09  1.64 (2.24) 38.60 
SGRHXWells Fargo Growth 0.00 0 per month 0.91  0.07  1.65 (2.22) 27.31 
AVPAXAmerican Beacon Small 0.00 0 per month 0.86  0.06  2.30 (1.50) 4.95 
ABSYXAmerican Beacon Small 0.00 0 per month 0.85  0.06  2.33 (1.44) 4.83 
AVFIXAmerican Beacon Small 0.00 0 per month 0.85  0.06  2.32 (1.44) 4.84 
PRUAXPrudential Utility Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.98 (0.02) 1.51 (1.61) 11.15 
JMVIXPerkins Mid Cap 0.00 0 per month 0.37  0.13  1.75 (1.18) 10.49 

Other Forecasting Options for Sentinel Common

For every potential investor in Sentinel, whether a beginner or expert, Sentinel Common's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sentinel Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sentinel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sentinel Common's price trends.

Sentinel Common Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sentinel Common mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sentinel Common could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sentinel Common by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sentinel Common Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sentinel Common mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sentinel Common shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sentinel Common mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Sentinel Mon Stock entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sentinel Common Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sentinel Common's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sentinel Common's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sentinel mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Sentinel Common

The number of cover stories for Sentinel Common depends on current market conditions and Sentinel Common's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sentinel Common is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sentinel Common's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Sentinel Mutual Fund

Sentinel Common financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sentinel Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sentinel with respect to the benefits of owning Sentinel Common security.
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