Sentinel Multi-asset Mutual Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression

SCSIX Fund  USD 39.32  0.01  0.03%   
Sentinel Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Sentinel Multi-asset's share price is above 70 at this time. This usually implies that the mutual fund is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Sentinel, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 70

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sentinel Multi-asset's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sentinel Multi Asset Income, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Sentinel Multi-asset hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sentinel Multi Asset Income from the perspective of Sentinel Multi-asset response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Sentinel Multi Asset Income on the next trading day is expected to be 38.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.65.

Sentinel Multi-asset after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 27.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sentinel Multi-asset to cross-verify your projections.

Sentinel Multi-asset Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sentinel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sentinel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sentinel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Sentinel Multi-asset polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Sentinel Multi Asset Income as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Sentinel Multi-asset Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Sentinel Multi Asset Income on the next trading day is expected to be 38.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.08, mean absolute percentage error of 2.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sentinel Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sentinel Multi-asset's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sentinel Multi-asset Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sentinel Multi-asset  Sentinel Multi-asset Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Sentinel Multi-asset Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sentinel Multi-asset's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sentinel Multi-asset's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.55 and 41.69, respectively. We have considered Sentinel Multi-asset's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
39.32
38.12
Expected Value
41.69
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sentinel Multi-asset mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sentinel Multi-asset mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.8396
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0763
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0321
SAESum of the absolute errors65.6545
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Sentinel Multi-asset historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Sentinel Multi-asset

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sentinel Multi Asset. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.2127.7843.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.9739.5443.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
36.1638.2240.27
Details

Sentinel Multi-asset After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sentinel Multi-asset at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sentinel Multi-asset or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Sentinel Multi-asset, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sentinel Multi-asset Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sentinel Multi-asset's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sentinel Multi-asset's historical news coverage. Sentinel Multi-asset's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.21 and 43.24, respectively. We have considered Sentinel Multi-asset's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
39.32
27.78
After-hype Price
43.24
Upside
Sentinel Multi-asset is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sentinel Multi Asset is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sentinel Multi-asset Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Sentinel Multi-asset is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sentinel Multi-asset backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sentinel Multi-asset, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.56 
3.57
  0.03 
  0.01 
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
39.32
27.78
29.33 
5,950  
Notes

Sentinel Multi-asset Hype Timeline

Sentinel Multi Asset is at this time traded for 39.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Sentinel is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 27.78. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -29.33%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.56%. The volatility of related hype on Sentinel Multi-asset is about 19472.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.31. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sentinel Multi-asset to cross-verify your projections.

Sentinel Multi-asset Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sentinel Multi-asset's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sentinel Multi-asset's future price movements. Getting to know how Sentinel Multi-asset's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sentinel Multi-asset may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Sentinel Multi-asset

For every potential investor in Sentinel, whether a beginner or expert, Sentinel Multi-asset's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sentinel Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sentinel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sentinel Multi-asset's price trends.

Sentinel Multi-asset Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sentinel Multi-asset mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sentinel Multi-asset could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sentinel Multi-asset by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sentinel Multi-asset Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sentinel Multi-asset mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sentinel Multi-asset shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sentinel Multi-asset mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Sentinel Multi Asset Income entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sentinel Multi-asset Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sentinel Multi-asset's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sentinel Multi-asset's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sentinel mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Sentinel Multi-asset

The number of cover stories for Sentinel Multi-asset depends on current market conditions and Sentinel Multi-asset's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sentinel Multi-asset is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sentinel Multi-asset's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Sentinel Mutual Fund

Sentinel Multi-asset financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sentinel Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sentinel with respect to the benefits of owning Sentinel Multi-asset security.
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