Siam Cement Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

SCVPY Stock  USD 4.90  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Siam Cement PCL on the next trading day is expected to be 4.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Siam Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Siam Cement polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Siam Cement PCL as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Siam Cement Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Siam Cement PCL on the next trading day is expected to be 4.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Siam Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Siam Cement's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Siam Cement Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Siam CementSiam Cement Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Siam Cement Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Siam Cement's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Siam Cement's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.90 and 4.90, respectively. We have considered Siam Cement's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.90
4.90
Expected Value
4.90
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Siam Cement pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Siam Cement pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria51.8021
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Siam Cement historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Siam Cement

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Siam Cement PCL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.904.904.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.904.904.90
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Siam Cement

For every potential investor in Siam, whether a beginner or expert, Siam Cement's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Siam Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Siam. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Siam Cement's price trends.

Siam Cement Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Siam Cement pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Siam Cement could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Siam Cement by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Siam Cement PCL Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Siam Cement's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Siam Cement's current price.

Siam Cement Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Siam Cement pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Siam Cement shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Siam Cement pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Siam Cement PCL entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Siam Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Siam Cement's price analysis, check to measure Siam Cement's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Siam Cement is operating at the current time. Most of Siam Cement's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Siam Cement's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Siam Cement's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Siam Cement to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.