Scanway SA Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| SCW Stock | 237.00 14.00 6.28% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Scanway SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Scanway SA from the perspective of Scanway SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Scanway SA on the next trading day is expected to be 193.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 714.14. Scanway SA after-hype prediction price | PLN 237.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Scanway |
Scanway SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Scanway price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Scanway using various technical indicators. When you analyze Scanway charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Scanway SA Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 21st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Scanway SA on the next trading day is expected to be 193.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.71, mean absolute percentage error of 241.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 714.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Scanway Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Scanway SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Scanway SA Stock Forecast Pattern
Scanway SA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Scanway SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Scanway SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 189.81 and 197.24, respectively. We have considered Scanway SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Scanway SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Scanway SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.596 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 11.7072 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0637 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 714.1396 |
Predictive Modules for Scanway SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scanway SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Scanway SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Scanway SA
For every potential investor in Scanway, whether a beginner or expert, Scanway SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Scanway Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Scanway. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Scanway SA's price trends.Scanway SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Scanway SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Scanway SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Scanway SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Scanway SA Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Scanway SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Scanway SA's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Scanway SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Scanway SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Scanway SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Scanway SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Scanway SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Scanway SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of Scanway SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Scanway SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting scanway stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.75 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.67 | |||
| Variance | 13.5 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.14 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.65 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.63) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Scanway SA
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Scanway SA position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Scanway SA will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to Scanway SA could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Scanway SA when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Scanway SA - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Scanway SA to buy it.
The correlation of Scanway SA is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Scanway SA moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Scanway SA moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Scanway SA can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Scanway Stock Analysis
When running Scanway SA's price analysis, check to measure Scanway SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Scanway SA is operating at the current time. Most of Scanway SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Scanway SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Scanway SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Scanway SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.