Pgim Short Fund Forward View - Simple Moving Average

SDHY Fund  USD 16.82  0.03  0.18%   
Pgim Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Pgim Short's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Pgim Short's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pgim Short Duration, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Pgim Short hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pgim Short Duration from the perspective of Pgim Short response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pgim Short Duration on the next trading day is expected to be 16.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.63.

Pgim Short after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pgim Short to cross-verify your projections.

Pgim Short Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pgim price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pgim using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pgim charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Pgim Short is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Pgim Short Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pgim Short Duration on the next trading day is expected to be 16.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pgim Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pgim Short's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pgim Short Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pgim Short  Pgim Short Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Pgim Short Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pgim Short's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pgim Short's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.42 and 17.19, respectively. We have considered Pgim Short's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.82
16.80
Expected Value
17.19
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pgim Short fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pgim Short fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.136
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0177
MADMean absolute deviation0.0616
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0038
SAESum of the absolute errors3.635
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Pgim Short Duration price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Pgim Short. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Pgim Short

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pgim Short Duration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.4016.7917.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.3116.7017.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pgim Short. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pgim Short's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pgim Short's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pgim Short Duration.

Pgim Short After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Pgim Short at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pgim Short or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Pgim Short, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Pgim Short Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Pgim Short's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pgim Short's historical news coverage. Pgim Short's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.40 and 17.18, respectively. We have considered Pgim Short's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.82
16.79
After-hype Price
17.18
Upside
Pgim Short is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pgim Short Duration is based on 3 months time horizon.

Pgim Short Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Pgim Short is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pgim Short backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pgim Short, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.06 
0.38
 0.00  
 0.00  
2 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.82
16.79
0.00 
1,900  
Notes

Pgim Short Hype Timeline

Pgim Short Duration is at this time traded for 16.82. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Pgim is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pgim Short is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.82. About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.77. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Pgim Short Duration last dividend was issued on the 14th of August 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pgim Short to cross-verify your projections.

Pgim Short Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Pgim Short's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pgim Short's future price movements. Getting to know how Pgim Short's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pgim Short may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AEFAbrdn Emerging Markets 0.00 0 per month 0.54  0.24  2.13 (1.50) 4.26 
ACAAXAlger Capital Appreciation 0.00 0 per month 1.59 (0.04) 2.64 (2.66) 10.92 
PRTAXT Rowe Price 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.67) 0.21 (0.11) 0.75 
TCAAXThrivent Moderately Servative 0.00 0 per month 0.11  0.01  0.67 (0.59) 5.09 
TQAAXT Rowe Price 0.00 0 per month 0.98  0.03  1.84 (1.61) 4.12 
MECIXAmg Managers Cadence 0.00 0 per month 0.51  0.08  1.10 (1.00) 3.50 
AVCNXAmerican Century Etf 0.00 0 per month 0.48  0.21  2.91 (1.39) 7.32 
JEHSXJohn Hancock Var 0.00 0 per month 0.89 (0.09) 1.83 (1.50) 4.55 
FSELXFidelity Select Semiconductors 0.00 0 per month 1.94  0.09  3.75 (3.66) 12.29 

Other Forecasting Options for Pgim Short

For every potential investor in Pgim, whether a beginner or expert, Pgim Short's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pgim Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pgim. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pgim Short's price trends.

Pgim Short Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pgim Short fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pgim Short could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pgim Short by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pgim Short Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pgim Short fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pgim Short shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pgim Short fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Pgim Short Duration entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pgim Short Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pgim Short's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pgim Short's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pgim fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Pgim Short

The number of cover stories for Pgim Short depends on current market conditions and Pgim Short's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pgim Short is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pgim Short's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Information on Investing in Pgim Fund

Pgim Short financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pgim Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pgim with respect to the benefits of owning Pgim Short security.
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