Millennium Pharmacon Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

SDPC Stock  IDR 158.00  15.00  8.67%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Millennium Pharmacon International on the next trading day is expected to be 169.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 205.73. Millennium Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Millennium Pharmacon polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Millennium Pharmacon International as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Millennium Pharmacon Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Millennium Pharmacon International on the next trading day is expected to be 169.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.37, mean absolute percentage error of 24.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 205.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Millennium Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Millennium Pharmacon's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Millennium Pharmacon Stock Forecast Pattern

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Millennium Pharmacon Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Millennium Pharmacon's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Millennium Pharmacon's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 165.76 and 172.80, respectively. We have considered Millennium Pharmacon's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
158.00
165.76
Downside
169.28
Expected Value
172.80
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Millennium Pharmacon stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Millennium Pharmacon stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.3094
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.3725
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0225
SAESum of the absolute errors205.7253
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Millennium Pharmacon historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Millennium Pharmacon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Millennium Pharmacon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
154.48158.00161.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
127.10130.62173.80
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Millennium Pharmacon

For every potential investor in Millennium, whether a beginner or expert, Millennium Pharmacon's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Millennium Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Millennium. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Millennium Pharmacon's price trends.

Millennium Pharmacon Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Millennium Pharmacon stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Millennium Pharmacon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Millennium Pharmacon by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Millennium Pharmacon Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Millennium Pharmacon's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Millennium Pharmacon's current price.

Millennium Pharmacon Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Millennium Pharmacon stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Millennium Pharmacon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Millennium Pharmacon stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Millennium Pharmacon International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Millennium Pharmacon Risk Indicators

The analysis of Millennium Pharmacon's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Millennium Pharmacon's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting millennium stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Millennium Stock

Millennium Pharmacon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Millennium Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Millennium with respect to the benefits of owning Millennium Pharmacon security.