Sit Dividend Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average

SDVGX Fund  USD 17.28  0.03  0.17%   
Sit Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Sit Dividend's mutual fund price is slightly above 66. This usually implies that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sit, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 66

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sit Dividend's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sit Dividend Growth, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Sit Dividend hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sit Dividend Growth from the perspective of Sit Dividend response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sit Dividend Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 17.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.31.

Sit Dividend after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.28  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sit Dividend to cross-verify your projections.

Sit Dividend Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sit price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sit using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sit charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Sit Dividend is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Sit Dividend Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sit Dividend Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 17.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sit Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sit Dividend's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sit Dividend Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sit Dividend  Sit Dividend Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Sit Dividend Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sit Dividend's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sit Dividend's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.93 and 18.63, respectively. We have considered Sit Dividend's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.28
17.28
Expected Value
18.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sit Dividend mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sit Dividend mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.3183
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0525
MADMean absolute deviation0.1218
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0076
SAESum of the absolute errors7.31
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Sit Dividend Growth price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Sit Dividend. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Sit Dividend

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sit Dividend Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.9417.2818.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.1318.4719.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.9017.1217.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sit Dividend. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sit Dividend's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sit Dividend's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sit Dividend Growth.

Sit Dividend After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sit Dividend at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sit Dividend or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Sit Dividend, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sit Dividend Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sit Dividend's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sit Dividend's historical news coverage. Sit Dividend's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.94 and 18.62, respectively. We have considered Sit Dividend's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
17.28
17.28
After-hype Price
18.62
Upside
Sit Dividend is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sit Dividend Growth is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sit Dividend Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Sit Dividend is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sit Dividend backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sit Dividend, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.23 
1.35
 0.00  
  0.86 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.28
17.28
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Sit Dividend Hype Timeline

Sit Dividend Growth is at this time traded for 17.28. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.86. Sit is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sit Dividend is about 35.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.42. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sit Dividend to cross-verify your projections.

Sit Dividend Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sit Dividend's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sit Dividend's future price movements. Getting to know how Sit Dividend's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sit Dividend may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SDVSXSit Dividend Growth 0.00 0 per month 0.36  0.11  1.01 (1.06) 11.34 
SILVXSummit Global Investments(6.35)6 per month 0.39  0.07  1.15 (0.83) 2.82 
CRAAXColumbia Adaptive Risk 0.01 1 per month 0.38 (0.02) 0.68 (0.66) 2.14 
EMFIXAshmore Emerging Markets 0.04 7 per month 0.42  0.15  1.52 (1.13) 3.54 
EMEAXAshmore Emerging Markets(4.04)1 per month 0.39  0.17  1.54 (1.09) 3.61 
FLSPXSpectrum Fund Retail 0.00 0 per month 0.56  0.1  1.29 (1.32) 6.07 
WSEFXWalden Equity Fund(21.69)7 per month 0.00  0.14  1.29 (0.88) 13.50 
RYVFXRoyce Small Cap Value 4.25 5 per month 0.61  0.11  2.35 (1.27) 12.98 
BTMFXBoston Trust Midcap(9.78)1 per month 0.41  0.08  1.62 (0.96) 12.36 
DOPIXDreyfus Opportunistic Small 0.00 0 per month 0.81  0.05  2.27 (1.67) 4.25 

Other Forecasting Options for Sit Dividend

For every potential investor in Sit, whether a beginner or expert, Sit Dividend's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sit Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sit. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sit Dividend's price trends.

Sit Dividend Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sit Dividend mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sit Dividend could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sit Dividend by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sit Dividend Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sit Dividend mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sit Dividend shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sit Dividend mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Sit Dividend Growth entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sit Dividend Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sit Dividend's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sit Dividend's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sit mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Sit Dividend

The number of cover stories for Sit Dividend depends on current market conditions and Sit Dividend's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sit Dividend is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sit Dividend's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Sit Mutual Fund

Sit Dividend financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sit Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sit with respect to the benefits of owning Sit Dividend security.
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