Sea1 Offshore Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

SEA1 Stock   29.30  0.10  0.34%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sea1 Offshore on the next trading day is expected to be 29.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.58. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Sea1 Offshore's stock prices and determine the direction of Sea1 Offshore's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sea1 Offshore's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Sea1 Offshore works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Sea1 Offshore Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sea1 Offshore on the next trading day is expected to be 29.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 0.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sea1 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sea1 Offshore's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sea1 Offshore Stock Forecast Pattern

Sea1 Offshore Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sea1 Offshore's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sea1 Offshore's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.06 and 31.61, respectively. We have considered Sea1 Offshore's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
29.30
29.33
Expected Value
31.61
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sea1 Offshore stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sea1 Offshore stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0995
MADMean absolute deviation0.4844
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0176
SAESum of the absolute errors28.582
When Sea1 Offshore prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Sea1 Offshore trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Sea1 Offshore observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Sea1 Offshore

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sea1 Offshore. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Sea1 Offshore

For every potential investor in Sea1, whether a beginner or expert, Sea1 Offshore's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sea1 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sea1. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sea1 Offshore's price trends.

Sea1 Offshore Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sea1 Offshore stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sea1 Offshore could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sea1 Offshore by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sea1 Offshore Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sea1 Offshore's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sea1 Offshore's current price.

Sea1 Offshore Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sea1 Offshore stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sea1 Offshore shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sea1 Offshore stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sea1 Offshore entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sea1 Offshore Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sea1 Offshore's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sea1 Offshore's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sea1 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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