Secure Energy Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average

SECYF Stock  USD 12.70  0.25  1.93%   
Secure Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Secure Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Secure Energy's share price is at 54. This usually implies that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Secure Energy, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 54

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Secure Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Secure Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Secure Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Secure Energy Services, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Secure Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Secure Energy Services from the perspective of Secure Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Secure Energy Services on the next trading day is expected to be 12.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.40.

Secure Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Secure Energy to cross-verify your projections.

Secure Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Secure price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Secure using various technical indicators. When you analyze Secure charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Secure Energy is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Secure Energy Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Secure Energy Services on the next trading day is expected to be 12.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Secure Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Secure Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Secure Energy Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Secure Energy  Secure Energy Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Secure Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Secure Energy's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Secure Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.23 and 14.17, respectively. We have considered Secure Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.70
12.70
Expected Value
14.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Secure Energy pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Secure Energy pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.9977
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0173
MADMean absolute deviation0.1567
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0126
SAESum of the absolute errors9.4
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Secure Energy Services price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Secure Energy. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Secure Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Secure Energy Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Secure Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.1512.7014.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4315.1116.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.8012.5113.21
Details

Secure Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Secure Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Secure Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Secure Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Secure Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Secure Energy's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Secure Energy's historical news coverage. Secure Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.15 and 14.25, respectively. We have considered Secure Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.70
12.70
After-hype Price
14.25
Upside
Secure Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Secure Energy Services is based on 3 months time horizon.

Secure Energy Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Secure Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Secure Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Secure Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
1.47
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.70
12.70
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Secure Energy Hype Timeline

Secure Energy Services is at this time traded for 12.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Secure is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Secure Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.70. About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.76. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Secure Energy Services recorded a loss per share of 0.47. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Secure Energy to cross-verify your projections.

Secure Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Secure Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Secure Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Secure Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Secure Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MITFYMitie Group Plc 0.00 0 per month 1.25  0.04  2.91 (2.40) 6.04 
KBAGFKoninklijke BAM Groep 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  83.30 
EIFZFExchange Income 0.00 0 per month 0.47  0.24  3.42 (1.78) 6.90 
BFFBFBiffa plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.00 (1.52) 17.94 
HSQVYHusqvarna AB 0.00 0 per month 2.03  0  2.46 (3.05) 12.50 
PTAUFPort of Tauranga 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.10  0.00  0.00  22.25 
SHZNYShenzhen Expressway Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
IRRHFInterroll Holding AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.25) 0.00  0.00  4.79 
TMRAYTomra Systems ASA 0.00 0 per month 1.67 (0.0002) 3.91 (2.70) 8.27 
CSPKYCOSCO SHIPPING Ports 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 0.00  0.00  2.65 

Other Forecasting Options for Secure Energy

For every potential investor in Secure, whether a beginner or expert, Secure Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Secure Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Secure. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Secure Energy's price trends.

Secure Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Secure Energy pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Secure Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Secure Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Secure Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Secure Energy pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Secure Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Secure Energy pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Secure Energy Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Secure Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Secure Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Secure Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting secure pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Secure Energy

The number of cover stories for Secure Energy depends on current market conditions and Secure Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Secure Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Secure Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Secure Pink Sheet

Secure Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Secure Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Secure with respect to the benefits of owning Secure Energy security.