Lottery Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

SEGG Stock   1.35  0.19  12.34%   
Lottery Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lottery's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026, the relative strength momentum indicator of Lottery's share price is approaching 43. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lottery, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 43

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lottery's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lottery and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lottery's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lottery, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lottery's stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
20
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.25)
Using Lottery hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lottery from the perspective of Lottery response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Lottery Relative Strength Index

The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lottery on the next trading day is expected to be 1.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.56.

Lottery Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Lottery's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lottery. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lottery can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lottery. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lottery's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lottery.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lottery on the next trading day is expected to be 1.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.56.

Lottery after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lottery to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Lottery Stock please use our How to Invest in Lottery guide.

Lottery Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lottery price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lottery using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lottery charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Lottery works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Lottery Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lottery on the next trading day is expected to be 1.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.56.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lottery Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lottery's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lottery Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Lottery  Lottery Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Lottery Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lottery's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lottery's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 16.60, respectively. We have considered Lottery's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.35
1.16
Expected Value
16.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lottery stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lottery stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0222
MADMean absolute deviation0.1427
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.098
SAESum of the absolute errors8.5591
When Lottery prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Lottery trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Lottery observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Lottery

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lottery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.3516.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.3016.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lottery. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lottery's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lottery's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lottery.

Lottery After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lottery at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lottery or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lottery, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lottery Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lottery's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lottery's historical news coverage. Lottery's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 16.79, respectively. We have considered Lottery's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.35
1.35
After-hype Price
16.79
Upside
Lottery is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lottery is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lottery Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lottery is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lottery backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lottery, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.63 
15.44
  0.05 
  0.30 
25 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 25 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.35
1.35
0.00 
19,300  
Notes

Lottery Hype Timeline

Lottery is at this time traded for 1.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.3. Lottery is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.63%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lottery is about 3278.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.05. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.54. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lottery recorded a loss per share of 14.14. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 29th of August 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 25 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lottery to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Lottery Stock please use our How to Invest in Lottery guide.

Lottery Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lottery's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lottery's future price movements. Getting to know how Lottery's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lottery may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CPOPPop Culture Group(0.02)8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 7.14 (6.98) 31.15 
EDUCEducational Development(0.11)8 per month 2.89 (0.01) 4.35 (4.26) 20.09 
KRKR36Kr Holdings(0.15)15 per month 0.00 (0.05) 7.37 (7.36) 27.42 
DRCTDirect Digital Holdings 0.06 9 per month 0.00 (0.14) 11.11 (17.27) 95.20 
IQSTIqstel Inc 0.04 4 per month 0.00 (0.21) 4.92 (9.77) 29.00 
TNMGTNL Mediagene Ordinary(0.08)9 per month 8.53 (0.01) 20.60 (11.78) 77.19 
TDICDreamland Limited Class 0.08 20 per month 0.00 (0.09) 21.43 (17.31) 66.21 
ZNBZeta Network Group 0.02 6 per month 8.15 (0.01) 8.82 (10.17) 90.82 
DKIDarkIris Class A 0.06 8 per month 0.00 (0.12) 12.82 (10.00) 27.80 
RSVRReservoir Media(4.61)14 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.18 (2.54) 7.75 

Other Forecasting Options for Lottery

For every potential investor in Lottery, whether a beginner or expert, Lottery's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lottery Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lottery. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lottery's price trends.

Lottery Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lottery stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lottery could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lottery by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lottery Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lottery stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lottery shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lottery stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lottery entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lottery Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lottery's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lottery's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lottery stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Lottery

The number of cover stories for Lottery depends on current market conditions and Lottery's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lottery is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lottery's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Lottery Short Properties

Lottery's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lottery's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lottery often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lottery's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lottery's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding863.8 K
Cash And Short Term Investments68 K
When determining whether Lottery is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lottery's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lottery's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lottery Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lottery to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Lottery Stock please use our How to Invest in Lottery guide.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Broadcasting space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lottery. If investors know Lottery will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lottery listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(14.14)
Revenue Per Share
0.503
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.25)
Return On Assets
(0.15)
Return On Equity
(0.91)
The market value of Lottery is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lottery that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lottery's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lottery's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lottery's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lottery's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lottery's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lottery is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lottery's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.