Senseonics Holdings Stock Forward View

SENS Stock  USD 7.23  0.10  1.40%   
Senseonics Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Senseonics Holdings' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Senseonics Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Senseonics Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Senseonics Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Senseonics Holdings Common, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Senseonics Holdings' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.40)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.56)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(2.38)
Wall Street Target Price
18.9167
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.40)
Using Senseonics Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Senseonics Holdings Common from the perspective of Senseonics Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Senseonics Holdings using Senseonics Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Senseonics using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Senseonics Holdings' stock price.

Senseonics Holdings Short Interest

An investor who is long Senseonics Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Senseonics Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Senseonics Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
9.0135
Short Percent
0.1018
Short Ratio
8.74
Shares Short Prior Month
3.6 M
50 Day MA
6.5378

Senseonics Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Senseonics Holdings Common on the next trading day is expected to be 6.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.68.

Senseonics Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Senseonics Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Senseonics. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Senseonics can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Senseonics Holdings Common. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Senseonics Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Senseonics Holdings.

Senseonics Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  0.64  
Senseonics Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Senseonics Holdings Common stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Senseonics Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Senseonics Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Senseonics Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Senseonics Holdings Common on the next trading day is expected to be 6.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.68.

Senseonics Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.22  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Senseonics Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Senseonics contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Senseonics Holdings Common will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.04% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Senseonics Holdings trading at USD 7.23, that is roughly USD 0.002892 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Senseonics Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Senseonics Holdings Common options at the current volatility level of 0.64%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Senseonics Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Senseonics Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Senseonics Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Senseonics Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Senseonics Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Senseonics Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Senseonics Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Senseonics. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Senseonics Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Senseonics price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Senseonics using various technical indicators. When you analyze Senseonics charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Senseonics Holdings' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2014-09-30
Previous Quarter
31.5 M
Current Value
34.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
46.6 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Senseonics Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Senseonics Holdings Common value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Senseonics Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Senseonics Holdings Common on the next trading day is expected to be 6.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Senseonics Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Senseonics Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Senseonics Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Senseonics Holdings  Senseonics Holdings Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Senseonics Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Senseonics Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Senseonics Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.30 and 10.58, respectively. We have considered Senseonics Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.23
6.44
Expected Value
10.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Senseonics Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Senseonics Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.1116
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3335
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0521
SAESum of the absolute errors20.6778
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Senseonics Holdings Common. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Senseonics Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Senseonics Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Senseonics Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.097.2211.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.669.7913.92
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.2118.9221.00
Details

Senseonics Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Senseonics Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Senseonics Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Senseonics Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Senseonics Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Senseonics Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Senseonics Holdings' historical news coverage. Senseonics Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.09 and 11.35, respectively. We have considered Senseonics Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.23
7.22
After-hype Price
11.35
Upside
Senseonics Holdings is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Senseonics Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Senseonics Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Senseonics Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Senseonics Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Senseonics Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.39 
4.14
  0.01 
  0.04 
9 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.23
7.22
0.14 
13,800  
Notes

Senseonics Holdings Hype Timeline

Senseonics Holdings is at this time traded for 7.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Senseonics is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.22. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.39%. The volatility of related hype on Senseonics Holdings is about 3942.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.27. About 16.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Senseonics Holdings was at this time reported as 1.92. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.54. Senseonics Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:20 split on the 20th of October 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Senseonics Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

Senseonics Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Senseonics Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Senseonics Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Senseonics Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Senseonics Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MASS908 Devices(0.12)7 per month 0.00 (0.06) 6.91 (6.56) 23.15 
CVRXCVRx Inc 0.33 10 per month 0.00 (0.14) 8.05 (6.66) 28.35 
SGHTSight Sciences 0.17 10 per month 3.50  0.09  9.34 (6.23) 25.08 
QTRXQuanterix Corp(0.01)8 per month 3.25  0.08  8.16 (5.23) 34.06 
SNWVSANUWAVE Health Common 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.94 (5.25) 26.31 
CERSCerus(0.03)10 per month 3.37  0.16  10.19 (5.56) 30.94 
NNOXNano X Imaging 0.20 8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 9.44 (6.31) 36.87 
CAPRCapricor Therapeutics(0.31)9 per month 4.33  0.12  11.51 (8.29) 386.29 
ACRSAclaris Therapeutics(0.01)6 per month 4.62  0.09  8.62 (7.99) 84.20 
NPCENeuropace 0.83 8 per month 2.00  0.14  6.30 (4.34) 43.20 

Other Forecasting Options for Senseonics Holdings

For every potential investor in Senseonics, whether a beginner or expert, Senseonics Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Senseonics Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Senseonics. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Senseonics Holdings' price trends.

Senseonics Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Senseonics Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Senseonics Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Senseonics Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Senseonics Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Senseonics Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Senseonics Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Senseonics Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Senseonics Holdings Common entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Senseonics Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Senseonics Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Senseonics Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting senseonics stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Senseonics Holdings

The number of cover stories for Senseonics Holdings depends on current market conditions and Senseonics Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Senseonics Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Senseonics Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Senseonics Holdings Short Properties

Senseonics Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Senseonics Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Senseonics Holdings Common often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Senseonics Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Senseonics Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments74.6 M

Additional Tools for Senseonics Stock Analysis

When running Senseonics Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Senseonics Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Senseonics Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Senseonics Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Senseonics Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Senseonics Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Senseonics Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.