Sezzle Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

SEZL Stock   63.24  7.27  10.31%   
Sezzle Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Sezzle's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Sezzle's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Sezzle fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Sezzle's share price is approaching 44. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sezzle, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 44

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sezzle's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sezzle and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sezzle's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sezzle Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Sezzle's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.705
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.9025
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.3825
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.38
Wall Street Target Price
103.25
Using Sezzle hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sezzle Inc from the perspective of Sezzle response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sezzle using Sezzle's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sezzle using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sezzle's stock price.

Sezzle Short Interest

An investor who is long Sezzle may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sezzle and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sezzle with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
91.273
Short Percent
0.2528
Short Ratio
5.99
Shares Short Prior Month
4.8 M
50 Day MA
67.2682

Sezzle Relative Strength Index

The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sezzle Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 73.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 297.56.

Sezzle Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Sezzle's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sezzle. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sezzle can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sezzle Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sezzle's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sezzle.

Sezzle Implied Volatility

    
  1.06  
Sezzle's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sezzle Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sezzle's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sezzle stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sezzle's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sezzle Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 73.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 297.56.

Sezzle after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 63.24  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sezzle to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sezzle contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sezzle Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0663% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Sezzle trading at USD 63.24, that is roughly USD 0.0419 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sezzle's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sezzle Inc options at the current volatility level of 1.06%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Sezzle Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sezzle's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sezzle's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sezzle stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sezzle's open interest, investors have to compare it to Sezzle's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sezzle is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sezzle. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Sezzle Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sezzle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sezzle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sezzle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Sezzle price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Sezzle Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Sezzle Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 73.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.88, mean absolute percentage error of 31.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 297.56.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sezzle Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sezzle's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sezzle Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sezzle  Sezzle Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Sezzle Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sezzle's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sezzle's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 69.75 and 78.12, respectively. We have considered Sezzle's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
63.24
73.93
Expected Value
78.12
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sezzle stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sezzle stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.5484
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation4.8781
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0756
SAESum of the absolute errors297.5644
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Sezzle Inc historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Sezzle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sezzle Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
59.0563.2467.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.2853.4769.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
60.7469.4278.10
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
93.96103.25114.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sezzle. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sezzle's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sezzle's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sezzle Inc.

Sezzle After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sezzle at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sezzle or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sezzle, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sezzle Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sezzle's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sezzle's historical news coverage. Sezzle's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.05 and 67.43, respectively. We have considered Sezzle's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
63.24
63.24
After-hype Price
67.43
Upside
Sezzle is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sezzle Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sezzle Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sezzle is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sezzle backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sezzle, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
4.19
  0.12 
  0.04 
7 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
63.24
63.24
0.00 
460.44  
Notes

Sezzle Hype Timeline

Sezzle Inc is at this time traded for 63.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Sezzle is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sezzle is about 1338.66%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 63.28. About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.06. Sezzle Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 6:1 split on the 31st of March 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sezzle to cross-verify your projections.

Sezzle Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sezzle's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sezzle's future price movements. Getting to know how Sezzle's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sezzle may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WUWestern Union Co 0.1 7 per month 1.53  0.05  3.59 (2.52) 9.85 
BFHBread Financial Holdings 0.52 8 per month 2.72  0.05  4.36 (3.31) 15.87 
ENVAEnova International(0.12)8 per month 1.37  0.19  3.45 (2.22) 14.60 
BANCBanc of California 0.91 19 per month 1.27  0.12  4.35 (1.95) 8.37 
WDWalker Dunlop(0.30)10 per month 0.00 (0.20) 2.51 (4.25) 11.59 
LCLendingClub Corp(0.33)10 per month 0.00 (0.03) 4.96 (5.96) 23.82 
CVBFCVB Financial(0.24)7 per month 1.48  0.03  3.01 (2.89) 9.56 
SBCFSeacoast Banking 1.23 10 per month 1.33  0.04  2.91 (2.01) 8.79 
PRKPark National 1.70 9 per month 1.53  0.03  2.86 (1.81) 9.22 
HCIHCI Group(0.34)11 per month 0.00 (0.18) 3.10 (4.10) 9.93 

Other Forecasting Options for Sezzle

For every potential investor in Sezzle, whether a beginner or expert, Sezzle's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sezzle Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sezzle. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sezzle's price trends.

Sezzle Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sezzle stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sezzle could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sezzle by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sezzle Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sezzle stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sezzle shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sezzle stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sezzle Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sezzle Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sezzle's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sezzle's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sezzle stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Sezzle

The number of cover stories for Sezzle depends on current market conditions and Sezzle's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sezzle is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sezzle's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Sezzle Short Properties

Sezzle's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sezzle's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sezzle Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sezzle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sezzle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments73.2 M
When determining whether Sezzle Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Sezzle's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Sezzle's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Sezzle Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sezzle to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Transaction & Payment Processing Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sezzle. If investors know Sezzle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Sezzle assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.705
Earnings Share
3.25
Revenue Per Share
12.376
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.67
Return On Assets
0.489
The market value of Sezzle Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sezzle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sezzle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sezzle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sezzle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sezzle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sezzle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sezzle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Sezzle's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.