Southern Financial Pink Sheet Forward View
| SFCO Stock | USD 9.55 0.00 0.00% |
Southern Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Southern Financial's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Southern Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Southern Financial from the perspective of Southern Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Southern Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 9.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Southern Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 9.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Southern |
Southern Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Southern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Southern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Southern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Southern Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Southern Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 9.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Southern Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Southern Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Southern Financial Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Southern Financial | Southern Financial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Southern Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Southern Financial's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Southern Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.55 and 9.55, respectively. We have considered Southern Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Southern Financial pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Southern Financial pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 51.4917 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Southern Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southern Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Southern Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Southern Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Southern Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Southern Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Southern Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Southern Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Southern Financial's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Southern Financial's historical news coverage. Southern Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.55 and 9.55, respectively. We have considered Southern Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Southern Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Southern Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Southern Financial Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Southern Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Southern Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Southern Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.55 | 9.55 | 0.00 |
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Southern Financial Hype Timeline
Southern Financial is at this time traded for 9.55. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Southern is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Southern Financial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.55. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southern Financial to cross-verify your projections.Southern Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Southern Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Southern Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Southern Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Southern Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RMBHF | RMB Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.45 | 6 per month | 0.44 | 0.07 | 0.93 | (1.09) | 12.28 | |
| LBHIX | Thrivent High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.24 | (0.24) | 2.38 | |
| VIASP | Via Renewables | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.24 | (0.01) | 0.68 | (0.60) | 2.04 | |
| RRTLX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.16 | 0.02 | 0.57 | (0.49) | 3.30 | |
| WQTM | WisdomTree Quantum Computing | (0.14) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.21 | (3.63) | 8.51 | |
| OSHDF | Oshidori International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SITKF | Sitka Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.33 | (6.67) | 15.41 | |
| RWAYL | MSCI ACWI exAUCONSUMER | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.24 | (0.20) | 0.89 | |
| SEGI | Sycamore Entmt Grp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 11.78 | 0.05 | 33.33 | (25.00) | 58.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for Southern Financial
For every potential investor in Southern, whether a beginner or expert, Southern Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Southern Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Southern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Southern Financial's price trends.Southern Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Southern Financial pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Southern Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Southern Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Southern Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Southern Financial pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Southern Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Southern Financial pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Southern Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Southern Financial
The number of cover stories for Southern Financial depends on current market conditions and Southern Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Southern Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Southern Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Southern Pink Sheet
Southern Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Southern Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Southern with respect to the benefits of owning Southern Financial security.