Seafarms Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| SFG Stock | 0 0 33.33% |
Seafarms Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Seafarms' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 0.11 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.40) |
Using Seafarms hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Seafarms Group from the perspective of Seafarms response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Seafarms Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. Seafarms after-hype prediction price | AUD 0.002323 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Seafarms |
Seafarms Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Seafarms price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Seafarms using various technical indicators. When you analyze Seafarms charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Seafarms Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Seafarms Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0000001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Seafarms Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Seafarms' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Seafarms Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Seafarms | Seafarms Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Seafarms Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Seafarms' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Seafarms' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00002 and 11.64, respectively. We have considered Seafarms' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Seafarms stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Seafarms stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0888 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.012 |
Predictive Modules for Seafarms
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seafarms Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Seafarms After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Seafarms at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Seafarms or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Seafarms, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Seafarms Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Seafarms' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Seafarms' historical news coverage. Seafarms' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 11.63, respectively. We have considered Seafarms' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Seafarms is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Seafarms Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Seafarms Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Seafarms is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Seafarms backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Seafarms, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 11.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0 | 0 | 16.13 |
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Seafarms Hype Timeline
Seafarms Group is at this time traded for 0on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Seafarms is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.002323 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 16.13%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Seafarms is about 155066.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. Seafarms Group has accumulated 10.55 M in total debt. Debt can assist Seafarms until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Seafarms' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Seafarms Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Seafarms to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Seafarms' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Seafarms to cross-verify your projections.Seafarms Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Seafarms' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Seafarms' future price movements. Getting to know how Seafarms' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Seafarms may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MFGO | Magellan Financial Group | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KAM | K2 Asset Management | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.17 | (3.85) | 19.13 | |
| AIZ | Air New Zealand | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.00 | (1.96) | 4.04 | |
| CIW | Clime Investment Management | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.70 | (2.70) | 7.99 | |
| FNX | Finexia Financial Group | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 5.88 | 0.00 | 19.55 | |
| PIC | Perpetual Equity Investment | 0.02 | 7 per month | 0.79 | (0.06) | 1.63 | (1.55) | 4.80 | |
| ACQ | Acorn Capital Investment | (0.02) | 1 per month | 1.20 | 0.04 | 2.15 | (2.20) | 7.96 | |
| SST | Steamships Trading | (0.05) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 0.10 | (0.50) | 6.28 |
Other Forecasting Options for Seafarms
For every potential investor in Seafarms, whether a beginner or expert, Seafarms' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Seafarms Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Seafarms. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Seafarms' price trends.Seafarms Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Seafarms stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Seafarms could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Seafarms by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Seafarms Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Seafarms stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Seafarms shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Seafarms stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Seafarms Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Seafarms Risk Indicators
The analysis of Seafarms' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Seafarms' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting seafarms stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 7.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 9.27 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 13.69 | |||
| Variance | 187.28 | |||
| Downside Variance | 597.22 | |||
| Semi Variance | 85.94 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (26.00) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Seafarms
The number of cover stories for Seafarms depends on current market conditions and Seafarms' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Seafarms is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Seafarms' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Seafarms Short Properties
Seafarms' future price predictability will typically decrease when Seafarms' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Seafarms Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Seafarms' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seafarms' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.3 M |
Additional Tools for Seafarms Stock Analysis
When running Seafarms' price analysis, check to measure Seafarms' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Seafarms is operating at the current time. Most of Seafarms' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Seafarms' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Seafarms' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Seafarms to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.