SAF-Holland Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average

SFHLF Stock  USD 18.86  0.00  0.00%   
SAF-Holland Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of SAF-Holland's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 14th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of SAF-Holland's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SAF-Holland's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SAF-Holland and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SAF-Holland's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SAF Holland SE, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using SAF-Holland hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SAF Holland SE from the perspective of SAF-Holland response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of SAF Holland SE on the next trading day is expected to be 18.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.96.

SAF-Holland after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 18.86  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SAF-Holland to cross-verify your projections.

SAF-Holland Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SAF-Holland price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SAF-Holland using various technical indicators. When you analyze SAF-Holland charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for SAF-Holland is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

SAF-Holland Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 15th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of SAF Holland SE on the next trading day is expected to be 18.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SAF-Holland Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SAF-Holland's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SAF-Holland Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest SAF-Holland  SAF-Holland Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

SAF-Holland Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SAF-Holland's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SAF-Holland's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.21 and 20.51, respectively. We have considered SAF-Holland's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.86
18.86
Expected Value
20.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SAF-Holland pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SAF-Holland pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.1653
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0216
MADMean absolute deviation0.1009
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0057
SAESum of the absolute errors5.955
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of SAF Holland SE price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of SAF-Holland. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for SAF-Holland

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SAF Holland SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.2018.8620.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.6018.2619.92
Details

SAF-Holland After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SAF-Holland at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SAF-Holland or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of SAF-Holland, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SAF-Holland Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SAF-Holland's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SAF-Holland's historical news coverage. SAF-Holland's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.20 and 20.52, respectively. We have considered SAF-Holland's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
18.86
18.86
After-hype Price
20.52
Upside
SAF-Holland is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SAF Holland SE is based on 3 months time horizon.

SAF-Holland Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SAF-Holland is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SAF-Holland backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SAF-Holland, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
1.65
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.86
18.86
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

SAF-Holland Hype Timeline

SAF Holland SE is at this time traded for 18.86. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SAF-Holland is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on SAF-Holland is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.86. About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.87. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SAF Holland SE last dividend was issued on the 20th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SAF-Holland to cross-verify your projections.

SAF-Holland Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SAF-Holland's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SAF-Holland's future price movements. Getting to know how SAF-Holland's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SAF-Holland may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for SAF-Holland

For every potential investor in SAF-Holland, whether a beginner or expert, SAF-Holland's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SAF-Holland Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SAF-Holland. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SAF-Holland's price trends.

SAF-Holland Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SAF-Holland pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SAF-Holland could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SAF-Holland by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SAF-Holland Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SAF-Holland pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SAF-Holland shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SAF-Holland pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify SAF Holland SE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SAF-Holland Risk Indicators

The analysis of SAF-Holland's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SAF-Holland's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting saf-holland pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for SAF-Holland

The number of cover stories for SAF-Holland depends on current market conditions and SAF-Holland's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SAF-Holland is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SAF-Holland's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in SAF-Holland Pink Sheet

SAF-Holland financial ratios help investors to determine whether SAF-Holland Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SAF-Holland with respect to the benefits of owning SAF-Holland security.