Sofina Société Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

SFNXF Stock  USD 228.90  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sofina Socit Anonyme on the next trading day is expected to be 229.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.35. Sofina Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sofina Société's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Sofina Société is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Sofina Socit Anonyme value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Sofina Société Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sofina Socit Anonyme on the next trading day is expected to be 229.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.35.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sofina Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sofina Société's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sofina Société Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Sofina Société Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sofina Société's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sofina Société's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 229.15 and 229.27, respectively. We have considered Sofina Société's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
228.90
229.15
Downside
229.21
Expected Value
229.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sofina Société pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sofina Société pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.4192
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1041
MAPEMean absolute percentage error5.0E-4
SAESum of the absolute errors6.3476
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Sofina Socit Anonyme. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Sofina Société. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Sofina Société

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sofina Socit Anonyme. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sofina Société's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
228.84228.90228.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
206.01229.17229.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
228.90228.90228.90
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sofina Société

For every potential investor in Sofina, whether a beginner or expert, Sofina Société's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sofina Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sofina. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sofina Société's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sofina Socit Anonyme Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sofina Société's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sofina Société's current price.

Sofina Société Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sofina Société pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sofina Société shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sofina Société pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Sofina Socit Anonyme entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sofina Société Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sofina Société's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sofina Société's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sofina pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Sofina Pink Sheet

Sofina Société financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sofina Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sofina with respect to the benefits of owning Sofina Société security.