SoftBank Group Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

SFTBY Stock  USD 28.78  0.02  0.07%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of SoftBank Group Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 28.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.51. SoftBank Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for SoftBank Group is based on an artificially constructed time series of SoftBank Group daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

SoftBank Group 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of SoftBank Group Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 28.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76, mean absolute percentage error of 0.91, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.51.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SoftBank Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SoftBank Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SoftBank Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest SoftBank GroupSoftBank Group Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

SoftBank Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SoftBank Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SoftBank Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.90 and 30.60, respectively. We have considered SoftBank Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
28.78
28.25
Expected Value
30.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SoftBank Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SoftBank Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.3151
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0199
MADMean absolute deviation0.7642
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0259
SAESum of the absolute errors40.505
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. SoftBank Group Corp 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for SoftBank Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SoftBank Group Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.4428.7831.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.3428.6831.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SoftBank Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SoftBank Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SoftBank Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SoftBank Group Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for SoftBank Group

For every potential investor in SoftBank, whether a beginner or expert, SoftBank Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SoftBank Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SoftBank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SoftBank Group's price trends.

View SoftBank Group Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

SoftBank Group Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SoftBank Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SoftBank Group's current price.

SoftBank Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SoftBank Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SoftBank Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SoftBank Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify SoftBank Group Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SoftBank Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of SoftBank Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SoftBank Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting softbank pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for SoftBank Pink Sheet Analysis

When running SoftBank Group's price analysis, check to measure SoftBank Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SoftBank Group is operating at the current time. Most of SoftBank Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SoftBank Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SoftBank Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SoftBank Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.