SGHC Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| SGHC Stock | USD 12.97 0.04 0.31% |
This Polynomial Regression projection for SGHC is fitted to the equity's recent daily closes. Low error metrics relative to the price level indicate the model fits recent trading behavior well. Older observations carry less weight in the current projection as the price series extends. The Polynomial Regression model projects SGHC at 14.21 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. This forecast is one analytical input among many and should be assessed in the context of broader analysis.
Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the Polynomial Regression model forecasts SGHC at 14.21 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.03 , and sum of absolute errors of 18.82 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of SGHC's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SGHC | SGHC Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This forecast for SGHC frames the expected trading range using downside and upside bounds rather than a single point target. The model places downside around 11.31 and upside around 17.12 for the next session. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the Polynomial Regression model's error metrics for SGHC stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.2173 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3086 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0279 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.8222 |
Other Forecasting Options for SGHC
Fibonacci retracement levels applied to SGHC Stock price swings identify potential support and resistance zones. Extreme price moves in SGHC occur more frequently than standard risk models assume. Support and resistance levels derived from SGHC's historical data identify zones where buying or selling pressure has stalled moves.SGHC Related Equities
The stocks listed below are peers of SGHC within the Consumer Discretionary space and offer context for ranking and strength. Checking SGHC against peers on P/E, margins, and return on equity helps put its position in context. How SGHC ranks within this group can shift over time as the competitive picture changes. Combining quantitative ratios with qualitative context such as management quality and market position sharpens peer comparisons.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SGHC Market Strength Events
Rate of Change and Momentum readings for SGHC measure the velocity of recent price moves rather than direction alone. These indicators add context to how recent sessions in SGHC have behaved. These indicators are most informative when viewed alongside SGHC's volume profile and volatility measures.
SGHC Risk Indicators
Standard deviation and variance for SGHC measure total price dispersion, while semi-deviation isolates only the downside moves. Higher variance relative to sector peers signals that SGHC's price path has been less predictable over the measured period. Analyzing SGHC's risk indicators helps explain how recent moves compare with its broader trading range.
| Mean Deviation | 2.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.9 | |||
| Variance | 8.43 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.14 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.17 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.61 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
SGHC Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for SGHC is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. When applied, these measures clarify when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 507.84 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 518.84 million |