SG Holdings Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SGHDY Stock | USD 10.14 0.47 4.86% |
SGHDY Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of SG Holdings' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SG Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SG Holdings CoLtd from the perspective of SG Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SG Holdings CoLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 10.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.55. SG Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 10.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SGHDY |
SG Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SGHDY price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SGHDY using various technical indicators. When you analyze SGHDY charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SG Holdings Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SG Holdings CoLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 10.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.55.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SGHDY Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SG Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SG Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SG Holdings | SG Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
SG Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SG Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SG Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.22 and 13.06, respectively. We have considered SG Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SG Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SG Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.8584 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0142 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1425 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0143 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.55 |
Predictive Modules for SG Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SG Holdings CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SG Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SG Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SG Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SG Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of SG Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SG Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SG Holdings' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SG Holdings' historical news coverage. SG Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.20 and 13.08, respectively. We have considered SG Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SG Holdings is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SG Holdings CoLtd is based on 3 months time horizon.
SG Holdings Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SG Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SG Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SG Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.14 | 10.14 | 0.00 |
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SG Holdings Hype Timeline
SG Holdings CoLtd is at this time traded for 10.14. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SGHDY is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on SG Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.14. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 848.14. The company last dividend was issued on the 9th of November 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SG Holdings to cross-verify your projections.SG Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SG Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SG Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how SG Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SG Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| YASKF | YASKAWA Electric | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.20 | 10.64 | 0.00 | 23.97 | |
| YATRY | Yamato Holdings Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.89 | |
| EKIVF | Enka Insaat ve | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 395.24 | |
| PYOIF | Promotora Y Operadora | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| JDLGF | JD Logistics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.99 | |
| YOKEF | Yokogawa Electric | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.36 | 31.90 | (13.13) | 22.23 | |
| SNOTF | Sinotrans Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.51 | |
| FMOCF | Fomento de Construcciones | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AVHNY | Ackermans Van Haaren | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.71 | |
| RKWBF | ROCKWOOL International AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.61 | (1.37) | 6.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for SG Holdings
For every potential investor in SGHDY, whether a beginner or expert, SG Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SGHDY Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SGHDY. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SG Holdings' price trends.SG Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SG Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SG Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SG Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SG Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SG Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SG Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SG Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify SG Holdings CoLtd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.05 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.14 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.14 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.24 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.47 |
SG Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of SG Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SG Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sghdy pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.92 | |||
| Variance | 8.53 | |||
| Downside Variance | 20.63 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.86 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.45) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SG Holdings
The number of cover stories for SG Holdings depends on current market conditions and SG Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SG Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SG Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for SGHDY Pink Sheet Analysis
When running SG Holdings' price analysis, check to measure SG Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SG Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of SG Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SG Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SG Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SG Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.