SurgLine International Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SGLN Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SurgLine International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. SurgLine Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although SurgLine International's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of SurgLine International's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of SurgLine International fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of SurgLine International's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SurgLine International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SurgLine International from the perspective of SurgLine International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SurgLine International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. SurgLine International after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SurgLine International to cross-verify your projections. SurgLine International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SurgLine price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SurgLine using various technical indicators. When you analyze SurgLine charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
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SurgLine International Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the SurgLine International's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 8.6 K | Current Value 8.2 K | Quarterly Volatility 1.8 K |
SurgLine International Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SurgLine International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SurgLine Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SurgLine International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SurgLine International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SurgLine International | SurgLine International Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
SurgLine International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SurgLine International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SurgLine International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered SurgLine International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SurgLine International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SurgLine International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 30.385 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for SurgLine International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SurgLine International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SurgLine International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SurgLine International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SurgLine International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SurgLine International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SurgLine International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SurgLine International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SurgLine International's historical news coverage. SurgLine International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered SurgLine International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SurgLine International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SurgLine International is based on 3 months time horizon.
SurgLine International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SurgLine International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SurgLine International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SurgLine International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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SurgLine International Hype Timeline
SurgLine International is at this time traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SurgLine is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on SurgLine International is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. SurgLine International had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 529:1000 split on the 21st of May 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SurgLine International to cross-verify your projections.SurgLine International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SurgLine International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SurgLine International's future price movements. Getting to know how SurgLine International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SurgLine International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TLSS | Transportation and Logistics | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 100.00 | (50.00) | 150.00 | |
| INOH | In Ovations Hldgs | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WPUR | WaterPure International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.67 | 0.03 | 25.00 | (19.05) | 74.18 | |
| VCON | Vicon Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MRDH | Meridian Holdings | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.42 | |
| GERS | Greenshift Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.17 | |
| CCGM | China Cgame | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WDHR | WeedHire International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CLRYF | Clarocity Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GMEV | Great China Mania | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for SurgLine International
For every potential investor in SurgLine, whether a beginner or expert, SurgLine International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SurgLine Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SurgLine. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SurgLine International's price trends.SurgLine International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SurgLine International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SurgLine International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SurgLine International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SurgLine International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SurgLine International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SurgLine International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SurgLine International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SurgLine International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for SurgLine International
The number of cover stories for SurgLine International depends on current market conditions and SurgLine International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SurgLine International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SurgLine International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SurgLine International to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in SurgLine Stock, please use our How to Invest in SurgLine International guide.You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SurgLine International. If investors know SurgLine will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SurgLine International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of SurgLine International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SurgLine that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SurgLine International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SurgLine International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SurgLine International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SurgLine International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SurgLine International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SurgLine International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SurgLine International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.