SPAR Group Pink Sheet Forward View
| SGPPY Stock | USD 6.36 0.00 0.00% |
SPAR Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of SPAR Group's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SPAR Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The SPAR Group from the perspective of SPAR Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of The SPAR Group on the next trading day is expected to be 6.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. SPAR Group after-hype prediction price | USD 6.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SPAR |
SPAR Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SPAR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SPAR using various technical indicators. When you analyze SPAR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SPAR Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of The SPAR Group on the next trading day is expected to be 6.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SPAR Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SPAR Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SPAR Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SPAR Group | SPAR Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
SPAR Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SPAR Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SPAR Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.36 and 6.36, respectively. We have considered SPAR Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SPAR Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SPAR Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 54.7611 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for SPAR Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SPAR Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SPAR Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SPAR Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SPAR Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of SPAR Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SPAR Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SPAR Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SPAR Group's historical news coverage. SPAR Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.36 and 6.36, respectively. We have considered SPAR Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SPAR Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SPAR Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
SPAR Group Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SPAR Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SPAR Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SPAR Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.36 | 6.36 | 0.00 |
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SPAR Group Hype Timeline
SPAR Group is at this time traded for 6.36. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SPAR is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on SPAR Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.36. The company last dividend was issued on the 8th of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SPAR Group to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy SPAR Pink Sheet please use our How to Invest in SPAR Group guide.SPAR Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SPAR Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SPAR Group's future price movements. Getting to know how SPAR Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SPAR Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CLOEF | Cloetta AB ser | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.71 | |
| TUFUF | Thai Union Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SNDVF | Scandinavian Tobacco Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1.42 | 0.00 | 5.64 | |
| KARNF | Kernel Holding SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.23 | |
| TR | Tootsie Roll Industries | (0.57) | 7 per month | 0.90 | 0.06 | 2.76 | (1.40) | 8.05 | |
| SHUFF | Shufersal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 102.05 | |
| ACNFF | Amsterdam Commodities NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.87 | 0.02 | 4.45 | (2.12) | 10.45 | |
| LSDAF | Lassonde Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.82 | (1.74) | 15.67 | |
| YNNHF | Yihai International Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GRCLF | GrainCorp Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 6.73 | (8.99) | 25.81 |
Other Forecasting Options for SPAR Group
For every potential investor in SPAR, whether a beginner or expert, SPAR Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SPAR Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SPAR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SPAR Group's price trends.SPAR Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SPAR Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SPAR Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SPAR Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SPAR Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SPAR Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SPAR Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SPAR Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify The SPAR Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for SPAR Group
The number of cover stories for SPAR Group depends on current market conditions and SPAR Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SPAR Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SPAR Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for SPAR Pink Sheet Analysis
When running SPAR Group's price analysis, check to measure SPAR Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SPAR Group is operating at the current time. Most of SPAR Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SPAR Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SPAR Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SPAR Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.