SINGAPORE POST Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SGR Stock | EUR 0.27 0.00 0.00% |
SINGAPORE Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of SINGAPORE POST's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SINGAPORE POST hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SINGAPORE POST from the perspective of SINGAPORE POST response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SINGAPORE POST on the next trading day is expected to be 0.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. SINGAPORE POST after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SINGAPORE |
SINGAPORE POST Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SINGAPORE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SINGAPORE using various technical indicators. When you analyze SINGAPORE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SINGAPORE POST Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SINGAPORE POST on the next trading day is expected to be 0.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000164, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SINGAPORE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SINGAPORE POST's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SINGAPORE POST Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SINGAPORE POST | SINGAPORE POST Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
SINGAPORE POST Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SINGAPORE POST's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SINGAPORE POST's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 0.73, respectively. We have considered SINGAPORE POST's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SINGAPORE POST stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SINGAPORE POST stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 104.7893 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 2.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 6.0E-4 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.01 |
Predictive Modules for SINGAPORE POST
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SINGAPORE POST. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SINGAPORE POST After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SINGAPORE POST at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SINGAPORE POST or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SINGAPORE POST, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SINGAPORE POST Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SINGAPORE POST's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SINGAPORE POST's historical news coverage. SINGAPORE POST's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 0.79, respectively. We have considered SINGAPORE POST's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SINGAPORE POST is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SINGAPORE POST is based on 3 months time horizon.
SINGAPORE POST Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SINGAPORE POST is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SINGAPORE POST backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SINGAPORE POST, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 0.46 | 0.26 | 0.06 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.27 | 0.33 | 22.88 |
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SINGAPORE POST Hype Timeline
SINGAPORE POST is at this time traded for 0.27on Munich Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. SINGAPORE is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.33 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 10.57%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 22.88%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.06%. The volatility of related hype on SINGAPORE POST is about 45.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.33. SINGAPORE POST has accumulated 782.95 M in total debt. Debt can assist SINGAPORE POST until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, SINGAPORE POST's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like SINGAPORE POST sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SINGAPORE to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about SINGAPORE POST's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SINGAPORE POST to cross-verify your projections.SINGAPORE POST Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SINGAPORE POST's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SINGAPORE POST's future price movements. Getting to know how SINGAPORE POST's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SINGAPORE POST may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MTE | Micron Technology | 7.70 | 7 per month | 2.51 | 0.24 | 7.42 | (3.61) | 20.28 | |
| 4P7 | PACIFIC ONLINE | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 26Y | YATRA ONLINE DL 0001 | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 8.20 | (8.26) | 22.32 | |
| WN6 | CARSALESCOM | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.63 | (2.20) | 4.70 | |
| 2XT | DXC Technology Co | (0.25) | 9 per month | 3.44 | (0.01) | 4.96 | (6.09) | 18.81 | |
| VHY | Vishay Intertechnology | 0.72 | 10 per month | 1.70 | 0.21 | 6.44 | (3.47) | 12.92 | |
| CJH | CanSino Biologics | (0.07) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.50 | (3.87) | 14.01 | |
| TQ4 | FANDIFI TECHNOLOGY P | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for SINGAPORE POST
For every potential investor in SINGAPORE, whether a beginner or expert, SINGAPORE POST's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SINGAPORE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SINGAPORE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SINGAPORE POST's price trends.SINGAPORE POST Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SINGAPORE POST stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SINGAPORE POST could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SINGAPORE POST by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SINGAPORE POST Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SINGAPORE POST stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SINGAPORE POST shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SINGAPORE POST stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SINGAPORE POST entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
SINGAPORE POST Risk Indicators
The analysis of SINGAPORE POST's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SINGAPORE POST's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting singapore stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1066 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4396 | |||
| Variance | 0.1933 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SINGAPORE POST
The number of cover stories for SINGAPORE POST depends on current market conditions and SINGAPORE POST's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SINGAPORE POST is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SINGAPORE POST's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SINGAPORE POST Short Properties
SINGAPORE POST's future price predictability will typically decrease when SINGAPORE POST's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SINGAPORE POST often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SINGAPORE POST's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SINGAPORE POST's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.3 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 20.3 M |
Additional Tools for SINGAPORE Stock Analysis
When running SINGAPORE POST's price analysis, check to measure SINGAPORE POST's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SINGAPORE POST is operating at the current time. Most of SINGAPORE POST's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SINGAPORE POST's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SINGAPORE POST's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SINGAPORE POST to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.