Shenandoah Telecommunicatio Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

SH9 Stock  EUR 12.40  0.10  0.81%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Shenandoah Telecommunications on the next trading day is expected to be 12.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.67. Shenandoah Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shenandoah Telecommunicatio's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Shenandoah Telecommunications is based on a synthetically constructed Shenandoah Telecommunicatiodaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Shenandoah Telecommunicatio 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Shenandoah Telecommunications on the next trading day is expected to be 12.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90, mean absolute percentage error of 1.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shenandoah Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shenandoah Telecommunicatio's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shenandoah Telecommunicatio Stock Forecast Pattern

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Shenandoah Telecommunicatio Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shenandoah Telecommunicatio's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shenandoah Telecommunicatio's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.09 and 16.93, respectively. We have considered Shenandoah Telecommunicatio's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.40
12.51
Expected Value
16.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shenandoah Telecommunicatio stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shenandoah Telecommunicatio stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria83.2781
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2368
MADMean absolute deviation0.8969
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0715
SAESum of the absolute errors37.671
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Shenandoah Telecommunicatio 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Shenandoah Telecommunicatio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shenandoah Telecommunicatio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.8812.3016.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.0811.5015.92
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Shenandoah Telecommunicatio

For every potential investor in Shenandoah, whether a beginner or expert, Shenandoah Telecommunicatio's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shenandoah Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shenandoah. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shenandoah Telecommunicatio's price trends.

Shenandoah Telecommunicatio Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shenandoah Telecommunicatio stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shenandoah Telecommunicatio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shenandoah Telecommunicatio by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shenandoah Telecommunicatio Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shenandoah Telecommunicatio's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shenandoah Telecommunicatio's current price.

Shenandoah Telecommunicatio Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shenandoah Telecommunicatio stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shenandoah Telecommunicatio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shenandoah Telecommunicatio stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shenandoah Telecommunications entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shenandoah Telecommunicatio Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shenandoah Telecommunicatio's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shenandoah Telecommunicatio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shenandoah stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Shenandoah Stock

Shenandoah Telecommunicatio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shenandoah Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shenandoah with respect to the benefits of owning Shenandoah Telecommunicatio security.