Seanergy Maritime Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| SHIP Stock | USD 10.58 0.29 2.82% |
Seanergy Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Seanergy Maritime's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Seanergy Maritime's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Seanergy Maritime fundamentals over time.
The value of relative strength index of Seanergy Maritime's stock price is slightly above 66. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Seanergy, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.46 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.9633 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.77 | Wall Street Target Price 13.375 |
Using Seanergy Maritime hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Seanergy Maritime Holdings from the perspective of Seanergy Maritime response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Seanergy Maritime using Seanergy Maritime's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Seanergy using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Seanergy Maritime's stock price.
Seanergy Maritime Short Interest
An investor who is long Seanergy Maritime may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Seanergy Maritime and may potentially protect profits, hedge Seanergy Maritime with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 7.7916 | Short Percent 0.0109 | Short Ratio 1.07 | Shares Short Prior Month 232.3 K | 50 Day MA 9.6964 |
Seanergy Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Seanergy Maritime Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 10.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.20.Seanergy Maritime Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Seanergy Maritime's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Seanergy. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Seanergy can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Seanergy Maritime Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Seanergy Maritime's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Seanergy Maritime.
Seanergy Maritime Implied Volatility | 0.75 |
Seanergy Maritime's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Seanergy Maritime Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Seanergy Maritime's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Seanergy Maritime stock will not fluctuate a lot when Seanergy Maritime's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Seanergy Maritime Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 10.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.20. Seanergy Maritime after-hype prediction price | USD 10.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Seanergy Maritime to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Seanergy contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Seanergy Maritime Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0469% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Seanergy Maritime trading at USD 10.58, that is roughly USD 0.004959 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Seanergy Maritime's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Seanergy Maritime Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.75%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Seanergy Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Seanergy Maritime's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Seanergy Maritime's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Seanergy Maritime stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Seanergy Maritime's open interest, investors have to compare it to Seanergy Maritime's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Seanergy Maritime is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Seanergy. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Seanergy Maritime Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Seanergy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Seanergy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Seanergy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Seanergy Maritime Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Seanergy Maritime Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 10.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Seanergy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Seanergy Maritime's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Seanergy Maritime Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Seanergy Maritime | Seanergy Maritime Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Seanergy Maritime Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Seanergy Maritime's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Seanergy Maritime's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.62 and 12.72, respectively. We have considered Seanergy Maritime's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Seanergy Maritime stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Seanergy Maritime stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -8.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.156 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0163 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.2049 |
Predictive Modules for Seanergy Maritime
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seanergy Maritime. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Seanergy Maritime After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Seanergy Maritime at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Seanergy Maritime or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Seanergy Maritime, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Seanergy Maritime Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Seanergy Maritime's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Seanergy Maritime's historical news coverage. Seanergy Maritime's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.51 and 12.61, respectively. We have considered Seanergy Maritime's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Seanergy Maritime is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Seanergy Maritime is based on 3 months time horizon.
Seanergy Maritime Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Seanergy Maritime is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Seanergy Maritime backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Seanergy Maritime, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 2.05 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 9 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.58 | 10.56 | 2.62 |
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Seanergy Maritime Hype Timeline
Seanergy Maritime is at this time traded for 10.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Seanergy is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.56 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 2.62%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.39%. The volatility of related hype on Seanergy Maritime is about 1287.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.52. Seanergy Maritime Holdings currently holds 257.87 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.1, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Seanergy Maritime to cross-verify your projections.Seanergy Maritime Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Seanergy Maritime's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Seanergy Maritime's future price movements. Getting to know how Seanergy Maritime's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Seanergy Maritime may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TOPS | TOP Ships | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.65 | (4.23) | 11.61 | |
| ESEA | Euroseas | (2.08) | 9 per month | 2.62 | (0.01) | 3.87 | (3.78) | 13.57 | |
| PXS | Pyxis Tankers | 0.04 | 10 per month | 1.78 | 0.11 | 4.78 | (3.14) | 14.08 | |
| CLCO | Cool Company | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.37 | (0.15) | 0.62 | (0.62) | 2.26 | |
| GLBS | Globus Maritime | 0.01 | 10 per month | 2.76 | 0.14 | 12.58 | (5.41) | 26.30 | |
| USEA | United Maritime | 0.05 | 8 per month | 3.75 | 0.07 | 5.29 | (5.39) | 20.78 | |
| PSHG | Performance Shipping | (0.07) | 10 per month | 3.09 | 0.01 | 4.98 | (4.25) | 16.86 | |
| CTRM | Castor Maritime | 0.15 | 7 per month | 2.74 | 0.01 | 6.25 | (4.98) | 18.43 | |
| TORO | Toro | 0.02 | 7 per month | 2.63 | 0.1 | 7.31 | (4.44) | 48.84 | |
| DSX | Diana Shipping | (0.06) | 11 per month | 1.98 | 0.14 | 6.51 | (3.41) | 13.41 | |
| DAC | Danaos | 0.18 | 10 per month | 0.71 | 0.17 | 2.47 | (1.62) | 5.60 | |
| GNK | Genco Shipping Trading | (0.23) | 11 per month | 1.08 | 0.18 | 3.90 | (1.92) | 11.53 | |
| NMM | Navios Maritime Partners | (0.25) | 10 per month | 1.00 | 0.21 | 2.94 | (1.98) | 7.51 | |
| GSL | Global Ship Lease | (0.06) | 12 per month | 1.00 | 0.20 | 2.89 | (2.24) | 12.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for Seanergy Maritime
For every potential investor in Seanergy, whether a beginner or expert, Seanergy Maritime's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Seanergy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Seanergy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Seanergy Maritime's price trends.Seanergy Maritime Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Seanergy Maritime stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Seanergy Maritime could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Seanergy Maritime by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Seanergy Maritime Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Seanergy Maritime stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Seanergy Maritime shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Seanergy Maritime stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Seanergy Maritime Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Seanergy Maritime Risk Indicators
The analysis of Seanergy Maritime's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Seanergy Maritime's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting seanergy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Variance | 4.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.89 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.91) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Seanergy Maritime
The number of cover stories for Seanergy Maritime depends on current market conditions and Seanergy Maritime's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Seanergy Maritime is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Seanergy Maritime's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Seanergy Maritime Short Properties
Seanergy Maritime's future price predictability will typically decrease when Seanergy Maritime's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Seanergy Maritime Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Seanergy Maritime's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seanergy Maritime's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21.9 M |
Additional Tools for Seanergy Stock Analysis
When running Seanergy Maritime's price analysis, check to measure Seanergy Maritime's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Seanergy Maritime is operating at the current time. Most of Seanergy Maritime's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Seanergy Maritime's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Seanergy Maritime's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Seanergy Maritime to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.