Shimano Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SHMDF Stock | USD 108.50 1.09 1.01% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shimano on the next trading day is expected to be 108.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.86. Shimano Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shimano's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Shimano's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Shimano hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shimano from the perspective of Shimano response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shimano on the next trading day is expected to be 108.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.86. Shimano after-hype prediction price | USD 107.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Shimano |
Shimano Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Shimano price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shimano using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shimano charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Shimano Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shimano on the next trading day is expected to be 108.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.10, mean absolute percentage error of 4.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.86.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shimano Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shimano's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Shimano Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Shimano | Shimano Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Shimano Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Shimano's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shimano's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 106.28 and 110.28, respectively. We have considered Shimano's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shimano pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shimano pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.718 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0218 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0976 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0108 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 65.8555 |
Predictive Modules for Shimano
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shimano. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shimano's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Shimano After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Shimano at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shimano or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Shimano, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Shimano Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Shimano's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shimano's historical news coverage. Shimano's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 105.37 and 109.39, respectively. We have considered Shimano's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Shimano is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shimano is based on 3 months time horizon.
Shimano Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shimano is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shimano backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shimano, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
108.50 | 107.38 | 0.03 |
|
Shimano Hype Timeline
Shimano is at this time traded for 108.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Shimano is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 107.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Shimano is about 454.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 108.52. About 53.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Shimano was at this time reported as 8206.79. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.93. Shimano last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2022. The entity had 11:10 split on the 15th of November 1991. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shimano to cross-verify your projections.Shimano Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Shimano's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shimano's future price movements. Getting to know how Shimano's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shimano may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SATLF | ZOZO Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.02 | |
| TRYIY | Toray Industries ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | 0.06 | 3.78 | (2.41) | 15.76 | |
| CCDBF | CCL Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.25 | 0.08 | 3.03 | (2.13) | 11.81 | |
| TRYIF | Toray Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 3.14 | (1.98) | 7.85 | |
| JCYGY | Jardine Cycle Carriage | 2.20 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.02 | |
| GMWKF | Games Workshop Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.04 | 0.09 | 4.94 | (3.34) | 17.22 | |
| MAKSF | Marks and Spencer | 2.20 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 7.72 | (4.10) | 30.22 | |
| SRGHY | Shoprite Holdings Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.75 | (0.04) | 3.07 | (2.84) | 8.90 | |
| VLVOF | Volvo Car AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 5.91 | (2.77) | 47.71 | |
| SIETY | DIeteren NV ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.19 | (1.01) | 9.38 |
Other Forecasting Options for Shimano
For every potential investor in Shimano, whether a beginner or expert, Shimano's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shimano Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shimano. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shimano's price trends.Shimano Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shimano pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shimano could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shimano by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Shimano Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shimano pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shimano shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shimano pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Shimano entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 108.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 108.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.55 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.09 |
Shimano Risk Indicators
The analysis of Shimano's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shimano's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shimano pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.4 | |||
| Variance | 5.78 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Shimano
The number of cover stories for Shimano depends on current market conditions and Shimano's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shimano is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shimano's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in Shimano Pink Sheet
Shimano financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shimano Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shimano with respect to the benefits of owning Shimano security.