Southern Home Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

SHOM Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
Southern Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Southern Home's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Southern Home's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Southern Home and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Southern Home's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Southern Home Medicl, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Southern Home hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Southern Home Medicl from the perspective of Southern Home response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Southern Home Medicl on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

Southern Home after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southern Home to cross-verify your projections.

Southern Home Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Southern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Southern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Southern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Southern Home simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Southern Home Medicl are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Southern Home Medicl prices get older.

Southern Home Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Southern Home Medicl on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Southern Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Southern Home's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Southern Home Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Southern Home Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Southern Home's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Southern Home's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Southern Home's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Southern Home pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Southern Home pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Southern Home Medicl forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Southern Home observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Southern Home

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southern Home Medicl. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Southern Home After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Southern Home at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Southern Home or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Southern Home, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Southern Home Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Southern Home's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Southern Home's historical news coverage. Southern Home's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Southern Home's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.0001
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
Southern Home is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Southern Home Medicl is based on 3 months time horizon.

Southern Home Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Southern Home is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Southern Home backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Southern Home, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.0001
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Southern Home Hype Timeline

Southern Home Medicl is at this time traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Southern is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Southern Home is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Southern Home Medicl had 1:1000 split on the 27th of June 2008. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southern Home to cross-verify your projections.

Southern Home Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Southern Home's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Southern Home's future price movements. Getting to know how Southern Home's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Southern Home may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Southern Home

For every potential investor in Southern, whether a beginner or expert, Southern Home's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Southern Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Southern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Southern Home's price trends.

Southern Home Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Southern Home pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Southern Home could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Southern Home by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Southern Home Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Southern Home pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Southern Home shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Southern Home pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Southern Home Medicl entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Southern Home

The number of cover stories for Southern Home depends on current market conditions and Southern Home's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Southern Home is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Southern Home's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Southern Pink Sheet

Southern Home financial ratios help investors to determine whether Southern Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Southern with respect to the benefits of owning Southern Home security.