Shuttle Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SHPH Stock  USD 0.90  0.01  1.12%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Shuttle Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.84. Shuttle Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shuttle Pharmaceuticals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current Payables Turnover is estimated to decrease to 0.02. The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 1.8 M. The Shuttle Pharmaceuticals' current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (2.7 M).

Shuttle Pharmaceuticals Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Shuttle Pharmaceuticals' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
2.6 M
Current Value
3.2 M
Quarterly Volatility
2.3 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Shuttle Pharmaceuticals is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Shuttle Pharmaceuticals value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Shuttle Pharmaceuticals Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Shuttle Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shuttle Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shuttle Pharmaceuticals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shuttle Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast Pattern

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Shuttle Pharmaceuticals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shuttle Pharmaceuticals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shuttle Pharmaceuticals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 8.96, respectively. We have considered Shuttle Pharmaceuticals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.90
0.66
Expected Value
8.96
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shuttle Pharmaceuticals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shuttle Pharmaceuticals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.5646
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1285
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0888
SAESum of the absolute errors7.8412
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Shuttle Pharmaceuticals. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Shuttle Pharmaceuticals. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Shuttle Pharmaceuticals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shuttle Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.909.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.869.16
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Shuttle Pharmaceuticals

For every potential investor in Shuttle, whether a beginner or expert, Shuttle Pharmaceuticals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shuttle Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shuttle. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shuttle Pharmaceuticals' price trends.

Shuttle Pharmaceuticals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shuttle Pharmaceuticals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shuttle Pharmaceuticals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shuttle Pharmaceuticals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shuttle Pharmaceuticals Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shuttle Pharmaceuticals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shuttle Pharmaceuticals' current price.

Shuttle Pharmaceuticals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shuttle Pharmaceuticals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shuttle Pharmaceuticals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shuttle Pharmaceuticals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shuttle Pharmaceuticals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shuttle Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shuttle Pharmaceuticals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shuttle Pharmaceuticals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shuttle stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Shuttle Pharmaceuticals offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Shuttle Pharmaceuticals' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Shuttle Pharmaceuticals Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Shuttle Pharmaceuticals Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shuttle Pharmaceuticals to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Shuttle Stock please use our How to Invest in Shuttle Pharmaceuticals guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shuttle Pharmaceuticals. If investors know Shuttle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shuttle Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(4.25)
Return On Assets
(0.62)
Return On Equity
(1.86)
The market value of Shuttle Pharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shuttle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shuttle Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shuttle Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shuttle Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shuttle Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shuttle Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shuttle Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shuttle Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.