Shop Apotheke Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SHPPF Stock  USD 75.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shop Apotheke Europe on the next trading day is expected to be 75.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.66. Shop Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shop Apotheke's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Shop Apotheke - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Shop Apotheke prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Shop Apotheke price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Shop Apotheke Europe.

Shop Apotheke Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shop Apotheke Europe on the next trading day is expected to be 75.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79, mean absolute percentage error of 5.85, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shop Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shop Apotheke's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shop Apotheke Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Shop Apotheke Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shop Apotheke's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shop Apotheke's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 72.14 and 77.86, respectively. We have considered Shop Apotheke's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
75.00
75.00
Expected Value
77.86
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shop Apotheke pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shop Apotheke pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.3268
MADMean absolute deviation0.7908
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0105
SAESum of the absolute errors46.66
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Shop Apotheke observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Shop Apotheke Europe observations.

Predictive Modules for Shop Apotheke

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shop Apotheke Europe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
72.1475.0077.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.8969.7582.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
62.5480.9199.29
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Shop Apotheke

For every potential investor in Shop, whether a beginner or expert, Shop Apotheke's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shop Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shop. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shop Apotheke's price trends.

Shop Apotheke Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shop Apotheke pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shop Apotheke could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shop Apotheke by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shop Apotheke Europe Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shop Apotheke's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shop Apotheke's current price.

Shop Apotheke Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shop Apotheke pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shop Apotheke shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shop Apotheke pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Shop Apotheke Europe entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shop Apotheke Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shop Apotheke's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shop Apotheke's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shop pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Shop Pink Sheet

Shop Apotheke financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shop Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shop with respect to the benefits of owning Shop Apotheke security.