Showa Denko Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| SHWDF Stock | USD 34.00 0.00 0.00% |
Showa Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Showa Denko's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Showa Denko's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Showa Denko hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Showa Denko KK from the perspective of Showa Denko response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Showa Denko KK on the next trading day is expected to be 34.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Showa Denko after-hype prediction price | USD 34.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Showa |
Showa Denko Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Showa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Showa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Showa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Showa Denko Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Showa Denko KK on the next trading day is expected to be 34.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Showa Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Showa Denko's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Showa Denko Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Showa Denko | Showa Denko Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Showa Denko Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Showa Denko's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Showa Denko's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.00 and 34.00, respectively. We have considered Showa Denko's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Showa Denko pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Showa Denko pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Showa Denko
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Showa Denko KK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Showa Denko's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Showa Denko After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Showa Denko at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Showa Denko or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Showa Denko, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Showa Denko Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Showa Denko's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Showa Denko's historical news coverage. Showa Denko's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.00 and 34.00, respectively. We have considered Showa Denko's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Showa Denko is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Showa Denko KK is based on 3 months time horizon.
Showa Denko Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Showa Denko is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Showa Denko backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Showa Denko, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
34.00 | 34.00 | 0.00 |
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Showa Denko Hype Timeline
Showa Denko KK is at this time traded for 34.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Showa is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Showa Denko is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.00. About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.68. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Showa Denko KK last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2022. The entity had 1:10 split on the 28th of June 2016. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Showa Denko to cross-verify your projections.Showa Denko Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Showa Denko's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Showa Denko's future price movements. Getting to know how Showa Denko's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Showa Denko may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IMCDY | IMCD NV | (2.02) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.77 | (4.69) | 9.47 | |
| SOMMY | Sumitomo Chemical Co | (2.02) | 17 per month | 1.66 | (0.01) | 3.23 | (3.18) | 7.90 | |
| FUPBY | Fuchs Petrolub SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.52 | (0.04) | 3.41 | (2.38) | 8.05 | |
| FUPPF | Fuchs Petrolub SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.19 | |
| MMSMY | Mitsui Mining and | (2.02) | 3 per month | 4.67 | 0.12 | 10.22 | (10.12) | 36.98 | |
| BCHMF | Bachem Holding AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.96 | |
| NNCHY | Nissan Chemical Industries | (2.02) | 3 per month | 3.01 | (0.01) | 4.33 | (5.94) | 20.44 | |
| ARKAF | Arkema SA | (2.02) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.51 | |
| TOSCF | Tosoh | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| COIHY | Croda International PLC | 3.54 | 18 per month | 1.47 | (0.04) | 2.25 | (2.59) | 6.40 |
Other Forecasting Options for Showa Denko
For every potential investor in Showa, whether a beginner or expert, Showa Denko's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Showa Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Showa. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Showa Denko's price trends.Showa Denko Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Showa Denko pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Showa Denko could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Showa Denko by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Showa Denko Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Showa Denko pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Showa Denko shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Showa Denko pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Showa Denko KK entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Showa Denko
The number of cover stories for Showa Denko depends on current market conditions and Showa Denko's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Showa Denko is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Showa Denko's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Showa Pink Sheet
Showa Denko financial ratios help investors to determine whether Showa Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Showa with respect to the benefits of owning Showa Denko security.